Bernanke, Countrywide boost stocks
RTGAM
Stock markets rose Thursday as investors speculated the U.S. may cut interest rates and a report suggested Bank of America Corp. is close to buying struggling Countrywide Financial Corp.
Shares of Countrywide, the largest U.S. mortgage lender, surged 51 per cent after several media reports said Bank of America was in advanced talks to buy it. Countrywide has been hit hard by the U.S. housing slump, with foreclosures and late payments on home loans rising to records in December.
U.S. Federal Reserve boss Ben Bernanke also played a hand in the market optimism after he promised to keep slashing interest rates to keep the U.S. economy from being shoved into recession by housing and credit woes.
"In light of recent changes in the outlook for and the risks to growth, additional policy easing may be necessary," Mr. Bernanke said. "We stand ready to take substantive additional action as needed to support growth and to provide adequate insurance against downside risks."
Economists welcomed the Fed Chairman's words, especially given mounting concerns that the U.S. economy is headed for - or already is in the grips of - a recession.
"Bernanke gave about as clear a signal as possible in his speech on Thursday ... no special Fed decoder ring needed there," said Sherry Cooper, chief economist at BMO Nesbitt Burns Inc.
The S&P/TSX composite index climbed 62.69 points to 13,642.63, with the mining and gold sectors adding ground as bullion prices surged.
Canada's big banks were among the day's biggest risers, with Bank of Nova Scotia up 3.4 per cent, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce adding 3.4 per cent, Royal Bank of Canada up 2.2 per cent and Toronto-Dominion Bank up 1.8 per cent.
On Wall Street, the Dow industrials closed 117.78 points higher at 12,853.09. In the broader U.S. market, the Nasdaq climbed 13.97 points while the S&P 500 rose 11.20 points.
With files from wires.
Copyright 2001 The Globe and Mail
Thursday, January 10, 2008
Stock markets rose Thursday as investors speculated the U.S. may cut interest rates
Wednesday, January 9, 2008
Oil Rises U.S. data shows crude inventories drop, but gasoline stocks up
NEW YORK – Oil prices rose today after a U.S. government report showed crude oil stockpiles fell for the eighth consecutive week but gasoline supplies swelled.
Fears of further violence in Nigeria, the world's eighth-largest oil producer, also supported prices.
Crude inventories fell by 6.8 million barrels, or 2.3 per cent, to 282.8 million barrels during the week ended Jan. 4, the Energy Department's Energy Information Administration said in its weekly report.
The drop was more than eight times the 800,000 barrels analysts predicted, according to a survey by Dow Jones Newswires. However, gasoline inventories beat expectations, rising sharply by 5.3 million barrels, or 2.6 per cent, to 213.1 million barrels. Analysts forecast stockpiles would climb by only 1.6 million barrels last week.
"This was really a mixed report, not a bullish report," said Tim Evans, an analyst at Citigroup Inc. in New York.
Contributing to the drop in crude oil stocks were efforts by Gulf Coast refineries to minimize their inventories, which are subject to year-end taxes, he said. Crude supplies also tend to rebound early in the year, he said.
"When we have weak gasoline demand, as we do now, and when we have swelling gasoline inventories, as we do now, it's hard to make the case that the overall petroleum market is critically tight," Evans said.
Light, sweet crude for February delivery added $1.36 to US$97.69 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Gasoline prices in the United States climbed 0.66 cent to $2.4805 a gallon.
At the pump, gas prices dipped 0.1 cent overnight to a national average of about $3.10 a gallon today, but remain well above the year-ago average of $2.30 a gallon, according to AAA and the Oil Price Information Service. The Energy Information Administration on Tuesday said gas prices are expected to average more than $3 a gallon through 2009 and peak near $3.50 this spring.
In London, February Brent crude rose $1.04 to $96.58 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange.
The weekly report also showed that inventories of distillate fuel, which includes diesel and heating oil, rose by 1.5 million barrels to 128.7 million barrels. Analysts had expected a drop of 300,000 barrels.
Heating oil futures rose by 3.06 cents to $2.6669 a gallon. Natural gas prices jumped 11.5 cents, selling at $8.082 per 1,000 cubic feet.
U.S. refineries ran at an average 91.3 per cent of total capacity, an increase of 1.9 percentage points, beating the expected 0.1 percentage point gain, the report said.
Reports that Nigerian militants are planning attacks on the nation's oil facilities also sent prices higher. In a research note, Vienna's PVM Oil Associates noted that the country had "already lost some 15 per cent of crude output capacity" due to violence. Still it forecast increased production of around 2.35 million barrels a day for this year, up from last month's 2.22-million barrel daily output.
Oil was also being supported by a surge in the price of gold, analysts said. Gold futures surged above $880 an ounce Tuesday to their highest level ever, not accounting for inflation.
A monthly EIA report Tuesday predicted oil supplies will be tight this year but ease in 2009. The EIA predicted oil prices will average $87 a barrel this year, up from a previous estimate of $85. The average price will then fall to $82 a barrel in 2009, it said.
A barrel of light, sweet crude surpassed $100 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange for the first time last week.
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