Tuesday, March 24, 2009

Markets: Sober Tuesday

 Sober Tuesday

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Tuesday, March 24, 2009


North American stocks took a breather on Tuesday morning – a deep breather – following the stunning rally on Monday.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 77 points, or 1 per cent, to 7,699. Boeing Co. and Johnson [amp]amp; Johnson were up marginally but all other stocks in the 30-member index were down at the start of trading.

Financials, which enjoyed by far the biggest gains during Monday's rally, slumped the most. Bank of America Corp. fell 7 per cent, American Express Co. fell 6 per cent and Citigroup Inc. fell 5 per cent. General Electric, which was downgraded by Moody's Investors Services, fell 2.5 per cent.

In Canada, the S[amp]amp;P/TSX composite index fell 151 points, or 1.7 per cent, to 8,808. Energy stocks were down, following euphoria on Tuesday when Suncor Energy Inc. announced a takeover deal with Petro-Canada. Suncor fell 3 per cent, Petro-Canada fell 2.2 per cent and Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. fell 2.4 per cent.

Financials were down marginally. Bank of Montreal fell 1 per cent, Bank of Nova Scotia fell 0.8 per cent and Manulife Financial Corp. fell 2.7 per cent.

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© Copyright The Globe and Mail

Monday, March 23, 2009

Suncor buys PetroCan for $18B


OTTAWA – Suncor Energy is in advanced talks to acquire Petro-Canada in a stock-based deal worth $18 billion, people familiar with the talks said yesterday.

If successful, the merger would combine two of the largest operators in the Canadian oil sands, which have high production costs and have become a target of environmental groups. The deal could be announced as early as today.

Like many in the energy business, both companies have had to deal with falling prices and sagging demand for their oil.

The end of Petro-Canada as an independent company would eliminate the last vestige of an ambitious and highly controversial program, begun by prime minister Pierre Elliott Trudeau during the 1970s to assert Canadian control over the country's energy resources.

The $18 billion price would represent about a 30 per cent premium for Petro-Canada, which operates conventional and oil sands production sites, refineries and a nationwide chain of service stations.

A Petro-Canada spokesperson declined to comment. "I'm afraid we don't speculate on rumours," Victoria Barrington told the Star.

Suncor did not return calls.

A takeover of Petro-Canada, a former federal Crown corporation, could be tricky because of legislation barring any one investor from owning more than 20 per cent of the company.

The Petro-Canada Public Participation Act also forbids the company from "selling, transferring or otherwise disposing of all or substantially all of its assets in one transaction, or several related transactions, to any one person or group of associated persons, or to non-residents, other than by way of security only in connection with the financing of Petro-Canada,"

In a securities filing last month, the Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan, which owns about 3.3 per cent of the company, said it had "held discussions with the management and board of Petro-Canada regarding the creation of shareholder value. Other investors have called on the firm to narrow its focus.

Oil Oil Oil Banks Banks Banks Rally Rally Rally



U.S. Plan for Mortgage Debt Gets Initial Support From Investors

U.S. Plan for Mortgage Debt Gets Initial Support From Investors


By Jason Kelly

March 23 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. plan to relieve banks of real estate debt won initial support from investors, who set aside for now questions about asset pricing and whether they will be demonized for profiting from the financial crisis.

“This is not a panacea; it is not a silver bullet,” Laurence Fink, chairman of BlackRock Inc., the largest publicly traded U.S. asset manager, said today in an interview. “But this will take some of the overhang out of the marketplace. It is incrementally a really good thing.”

The Obama administration said today it’s counting on investors such as New York-based BlackRock, hedge funds and private-equity firms to buy devalued real estate loans and mortgage-backed securities from banks so they can raise capital and resume lending. The government aims to spur as much as $1 trillion in purchases by providing $100 billion in capital, as well as financing from the Federal Reserve and Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.

Financial markets rose on speculation the plan will help end the first global recession since World War II. Blackstone Group LP and Fortress Investment Group LLC, New York-based private-equity firms that have said they are interested in increasing their holdings of distressed debt, jumped 28 percent and 35 percent, respectively, in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. BlackRock gained 10 percent.

“This ambitious program is structured in a way to attract private capital and help banks sell distressed or toxic assets,” said David Marchick, head of government and regulatory affairs at Washington-based Carlyle Group, a closely held private-equity firm.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Stock Index rose 3.9 percent to 802.43 at 1:51 p.m. in New York, and the S&P 500 Financials Index climbed 9.8 percent.

Enthusiasm Tempered

The initial enthusiasm was tempered by concern that the plan detailed today by Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner still doesn’t address whether banks will be willing or able to unload securities at a loss.

“The big issue is whether the financial institutions will sell securities at below the current marks,” said Richard King, who oversees about $40 billion as head of U.S. fixed-income investments at Invesco Ltd., an Atlanta-based fund manager.

Banks could face another round of writedowns if assets are sold for less than the current value on their books. If that occurs some could need to raise more capital to absorb those losses.

Paulson’s Dilemma

“This is one of the details that sunk the plan initially, and it’s still an issue,” said Steven Persky, chief executive officer of Dalton Investments LLC, a Los Angeles-based hedge- fund manager that invests in mortgages. He was referring to former Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson’s reversal last October on using federal bailout money to buy troubled assets from banks.

“The structural issue is a real problem that they have to resolve,” he said.

Half of the $75 billion to $100 billion in Treasury’s funds will go to a “Legacy Loans Program” that will be overseen by the FDIC. The Treasury would provide half of the capital going to purchase a pool of mortgages from banks, with private fund managers putting up the rest. The FDIC will then guarantee financing for the investors, up to a maximum of six times the equity provided.

The FDIC will hold auctions for the pools of loans, which will be controlled and managed by the private investors with oversight by the FDIC.

Market Will Work

The second half of the Treasury’s contribution will go to the “Legacy Securities Program.” The objective of the initiative is to generate prices for securities backed by mortgages that are no longer traded because investors have little confidence about the underlying value of the home loans.

“The market will find a way to price these assets,” said Edward Gainor, a partner at law firm McKee Nelson LLP in Washington who advises funds on distressed investments.

BlackRock’s Fink said his company will raise money from investors such as pension funds and endowments for the new Treasury programs. The company might consider creating mutual funds so that individual investors can also participate.

Bill Gross, co-chief investment officer for bond manager Pacific Investment Management Co., said his Newport Beach, California-based firm also would participate in the bailout programs.

‘Win/Win/Win’

“This is perhaps the first win/win/win policy to be put on the table,” Gross said.

Other fund managers that may jump in include Legg Mason Inc. and State Street Corp.

Legg Mason’s Western Asset Management unit, which manages about $550 billion in bonds and money funds, will benefit from participating in government bailout programs, analysts at Jeffries & Co. in San Francisco wrote in a report earlier this month. Mary Athridge, a spokeswoman for Baltimore-based Legg Mason, declined to comment.

State Street spokeswoman Carolyn Cichon said the Boston- based firm is evaluating “what, if any opportunities” will come out of today’s plan. State Street manages about $1.4 trillion through its investment unit.

Lawrence Summers, the White House National Economic Council Director, said in a Bloomberg Television interview today that investors in the new debt plan wouldn’t be subject to compensation restrictions applied to banks rescued by the government.

AIG Factor

Still, questions remain over whether Congress and the administration will keep that promise in the face of mounting public pressure over bonuses paid to employees of American International Group Inc. and Merrill Lynch & Co.

“The biggest obstacle is whether the government is going to set limits on executive compensation at these funds,” said Steven Nadel, partner at Seward & Kissel LLP, a New York-based law firm whose clients include hedge funds. “If the government can give assurances that there won’t be limits, then the terms could potentially work out for all involved and create liquidity in these markets.”

The level of participation ultimately lies in the details, an area where the Obama administration has disappointed investors in previous attempts.

“We think there’s a fair amount of money on the sidelines that would be enticed back into the market,” said Andrew McCormick, head of securitized products at T. Rowe Price Group Inc., a Baltimore-based fund manager. “We would expect the program to provide clarity. We wouldn’t want to put our best investors into something where the rules are open to debate later.”

Why Not Nationalize?

Kenneth Windheim, chief investment officer of Strategic Fixed Income LLC in Arlington, Virginia, questioned the underlying premise of the Treasury’s plan: that getting private investors involved is the only way to set asset prices and unclog bank balance sheets.

“It would possibly be cheaper to nationalize the banks, get new management and sell the assets off, rather than heavily subsidize or bribe asset managers into taking part in this program,” said Windheim, whose firm manages $1.7 billion in assets. “It’s the same managers who got us into the financial mess who are now going to benefit.”

U.S. seeks to unfreeze credit markets



WASHINGTON – The Obama administration launched a new effort Monday to end a paralysis in lending, saying it will team with investors to initially buy up to a trillion dollars of bad assets from banks that have been reluctant to make loans to consumers and companies.

In announcing the program, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner pleaded for patience, saying that work to rehabilitate an industry with such systemic problems must go forward despite "deep anger and outrage" over executive bonus payments.

Geithner's performance in President Barack Obama's cabinet has come under heavy criticism from some in Congress. The secretary announced the initiative in a Treasury Department room with no cameras allowed. He was with Obama later in the morning, however, when the president spoke briefly, saying he was "very confident" the latest plan will succeed.

Obama called it "one more critical element" in a multi-pronged effort to revive the economy and said the depressed housing market is beginning to show glimmers of hope.

Geithner said the new program will initially seek to harness government and private resources to purchase a half-trillion dollars of bad assets off the balance sheets of banks and said he expects that purchases eventually could grow to $1 trillion.

Wall Street seemed to feel rejuvenated, at least at the opening. In late morning, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 221 at 7,500. Reaction to an earlier administration bank rescue program on Feb. 10 was anything but enthusiastic, with dispirited investors sending the Dow Jones plummeting by 380 points.

The administration's newest toxic-asset repellent was another in a string of banking initiatives that have included efforts to deal directly with mortgage foreclosures, boost lending to small businesses and thaw out the credit markets for many types of consumer loans.

Administration officials said the plan put forth Monday will deploy $75 billion to $100 billion from the government's existing $700 billion bailout program for the purchase of bad assets – resources that will be supported by loans from the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. and a loan facility being operated by the Federal Reserve.

Under a typical transaction, for every $100 in soured mortgages being purchased from banks, the private sector would put up $7 and that would be matched by $7 from the government. The remaining $86 would be covered by a government loan provided in many cases by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.

Whereas Geithner suggested there was no alternative to the plan, Republicans said otherwise. House GOP Whip Eric Cantor said he hoped the administration would consider instead an earlier GOP proposal to set up a government-sponsored insurance program for mortgage-related securities.

Cantor called Obama's plan a "shell game" that hid the true cost.

"As described, the plan seems to offer little incentive for private investors to participate unless the subsidy is made so rich that it comes at the expense of the taxpayer," Cantor said in a statement.

Geithner was scheduled to testify on Tuesday before the House Financial Services Committee.

The secretary defended the decision to have the government carry so much of the risk. He said the alternative would have been to do nothing and risk a more prolonged recession or have the government carry all of the risk.

Geithner also said there would be significant advantages from having private market participants bidding against each other to set prices for which the bad assets will be purchased.

"There is no doubt the government is taking risks," he told reporters. "You can't solve a financial crisis without the government taking risks."

Devising bailout plans has never been easy work, and the brouhaha surrounding millions in executive retention bonuses paid out by financially strapped American Insurance Group, Inc., hasn't improved the political atmosphere.

Officials said they expect participation by a broad array of investors ranging from pension funds and insurance companies to hedge funds. To achieve that goal, the program would be set up to entice private investors with low-cost loans provided by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and the Federal Reserve. The government itself would shoulder the bulk of the risk.

Geithner has said that the country cannot afford to simply wait for banks to work off these bad assets over time.

Christina Romer, who heads the White House Council of Economic Advisers, said: "It's absolutely about helping a system so that people can get their student loans, and that families can buy their house and buy their cars, and small businesses can get their loans."

The government has been struggling since the credit crisis hit last fall to figure out a way to sop up the bad assets, many of them involving home loans. Former Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson never did come up with a solution and the Obama team has been wrestling with the same thorny problems of how to price the assets and make sure the government's resources are up to the task.

The program surfaced after a week of Wall Street-bashing in Congress, where lawmakers were outraged with the action by troubled insurance company American International Group Inc. to distribute $165 million in bonuses after obtaining more than $170 billion in government bailouts to remain in business.

Some hedge funds and other investors have expressed reluctance to participate in the new program for fear that Congress will subject them to what they view as onerous restrictions on executive compensation.

But administration officials insisted that they believe they have found the right mix to attract private investors and make a dent in what, by some estimates, could be more than $2 trillion in troubled assets on banks' books.

They said the program has the capacity to purchase $500 billion and possibly as much as $1 trillion in troubled loans, which go back to the collapse of the housing boom and the subsequent tidal wave of foreclosures.

But private analysts believe that with the $700 billion bailout fund nearly tapped out by capital disbursements to banks and lifelines provided the auto companies and AIG, there are only enough resources left to get the asset purchase program launched.

Mark Zandi, an economist with Moody's Economy.com, estimated the government will need another $400 billion to make a sufficient dent in the bad asset problem.

Administration officials said they want to get the new program launched and see how successful it is before deciding whether to ask Congress for more resources.

The administration included a placeholder in its budget request to Congress last month for an additional $750 billion, more than doubling the financial rescue effort, but many lawmakers have said the current bailout fatigue among voters dims the prospect of getting further resources.

According to administration officials, the toxic asset program will include a public-private partnership to back private investors' purchases of bad assets, with government support coming from the $700 billion bailout fund. The government would match private investors dollar for dollar and share any profits equally.


Sunday, March 22, 2009

Eight Is Enough?



Canadian stocks fell yesterday, as investors took profits following eight straight days of gains. The S&P/TSX Composite index fell 184.14 points, or 2.12%, to close at 8506.35 as oil and gold prices slumped after sizable run-ups the day before. For the week, the country's top exchange climbed 2.4% from its previous week close of 8303.39. Meanwhile, the TSX Venture exchange was down 1.77 points, or 0.20%, yesterday, closing at 901.80. The Canadian dollar fell 12 basis points to US80.68¢.

"With commodities down, we didn't have much of a chance yesterday," said Michael Sprung, a portfolio manager at Sprung & Co. Investment Counsel in Toronto. "Particularly after the financials had taken such a run it isn't surprising that people decided to lock some of that in."

Losers outpaced gainers by more than two to one in Toronto, with nine of the exchange's 10 subindices ending the session in the red.

The materials group fell 3.23% as prices for base and precious metals retreated. Gold fell US$2.60 an ounce to US$956.20. Teck Cominco Ltd., (TCK. b/TSX) was among the most active stocks in the metals and mining space, with more than 17 million shares trading hands. After rising as much as 7% in early trading, the diversified miner ended the day down 0.68%, or 4¢, to $5.88 on news its credit rating was cut to junk by Standard & Poor's because low metal prices will make it harder to fund or refinance its debt.

Financial and energy stocks also dropped, giving up 2.05% and 1.13%, respectively. Light sweet crude oil was slightly lower at US$51.06 a barrel, down US55¢.

Saturday, March 21, 2009

`Ponzimonium' as scams come to light

`Ponzimonium' as scams come to light
Fraudsters being unmasked by soured markets: U.S. regulator
March 21, 2009

BOSTON–Hundreds of people are under investigation for financial scams, many involving Ponzi schemes, a U.S. regulator said, calling the phenomenon "rampant Ponzimonium."

While none are as mammoth as disgraced financier Bernard Madoff's $65 billion (U.S.) fraud, multimillion-dollar "mini Madoffs" are proliferating from New York to Hawaii, the head of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission said.

So far this year, the agency has uncovered 19 Ponzi schemes, which depend on an influx of new capital instead of investment profits to pay existing investors. That compares with just 13 for all of 2008.

"Because of the economy, people are seeking redemptions more than they ever have and that's making a lot of these scams go belly up," Bart Chilton, head of the commodities commission, said in an interview.

In the last month, his agency has pursued investment fraud in Pennsylvania, New York, North Carolina, Iowa, Idaho, Texas and Hawaii.

Chilton called the problem "rampant Ponzimonium" and "Ponzipalooza" – a play on the name of the Lollapalooza music festival.

Many scams are small but grew fast to support lavish lifestyles, like the suspected $40 million, five-year Ponzi scheme that came to light last month when a North Carolina man committed suicide.

Claiming to be an expert mathematician, Bruce Kramer persuaded 79 people to invest in a so-called foreign currency trading operation.

Instead, he funnelled money into a Maserati car, a $1 million horse farm, artwork and "extravagant" parties, according to a complaint.

As the economy soured, Kramer struggled to find new clients to keep the scheme going. In the days before his suicide, his investors demanded their money back and grew suspicious when they couldn't access their own funds, said Chilton.

The Securities and Exchange Commission also faces swelling Ponzi files, including charges Texas billionaire Allen Stanford bilked investors of $8.8 billion.

Reuters News Agency

Bear Rally Ends at 8 Days

Eight is enough

RTGAM




Well, that was a disappointing end to the week. North American indexes flopped in afternoon trading on Friday, capping the winning streak of Canada's benchmark index at eight days and renewing concerns that U.S. indexes are by no means in the clear just yet.


The Dow Jones industrial average closed at 7,278.38, down 122.42 points or 1.7 per cent. Still, for the week, the 30-stock index rose 55 points or 0.8 per cent - marking the second consecutive week of gains. The broader S&P 500 closed at 768.54, down 15.5 points or 2 per cent.


The VIX volatility index, a widely followed index that is seen as a reflection of investor anxiety, rose to 46 - putting it in the middle of its recent range and well above the lows of previous years.


General Motors Corp. rose 10.8 per cent and Ford Motor Co. rose 9.6 per cent on signals from the U.S. government that it won't let the automotive sector fail. As well Merck & Co. Inc. rose 2.6 per cent and Johnson & Johnson rose 3.2 per cent.


However, one of the key sources of the recent rally worked against the market on Friday, when financials switched back into laggard mode after the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. said that bank failures over the next five years would cost the agency $65-billion - suggesting that the financial sector isn't on safe ground just yet.


Bank of America Corp. fell 10.7 per cent and JPMorgan Chase & Co. fell 7.2 per cent. General Electric Co., which tends to move in the same direction as financial stocks, due to its large but troubled financial arm, fell 5.8 per cent.


In Canada, the S&P/TSX composite index closed at 8,506.35, down 184.14 points or 2.1 per cent - although it rose 2.4 per cent for the week.


Energy stocks were big drags on the index, a day after they rallied, even though the price of crude oil held steady, at about $52 a barrel. Suncor Energy Inc. fell 7.5 per cent and Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. fell 3.7 per cent.


Financials were also weak, following the lead of their U.S. counterparts, with Bank of Nova Scotia down 1.8 per cent and Manulife Financial Corp. down 4.7 per cent.

Copyright 2001 The Globe and Mail

Oil levels off after week of gains

The Associated Press

VIENNA — Oil prices levelled off Friday after the effects of OPEC production cuts and a massive U.S. government buying spree led to a weeklong rally.

Benchmark crude for April delivery fell 55 cents to settle at $51.06 (U.S.) a barrel in light trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The April contract expires Friday and traders shifted their attention to the May contract, which rose three cents to settle at $52.07.

It was the first time crude has ended the week above $50 since last year.

“It really seems like the market is taking a breather after a wild week,” said Mike Zarembski, senior commodity analyst at brokerage OptionsXpress Inc.

 Oil prices rose 11 per cent over the week. Prices spiked after the U.S. Federal Reserve announced plans Wednesday to buy $1.25 trillion of U.S. government bonds and mortgage-backed securities. Investors pumped money into commodities like oil as the U.S. dollar went into a tailspin.

Also this week, for the first time in months, supply concerns came to the forefront as researchers that monitor seagoing oil tankers said traffic dropped considerably.

Investors since late last summer have brushed off OPEC's plan to slash crude production, focusing instead on the global recession and a massive surplus of crude in U.S. inventories.

But six months after OPEC members agreed to tighten their spigots, analysts said the group has started to balance a plunge in global consumption with supply. Most analysts believe the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries has cut about 80 per cent of the 4.2 million barrels of crude per day that it promised last year.

OPEC ministers said Sunday they would push even harder to make all member states comply with quotas.

Crude prices rose again on Friday as traders learned that two U.S. Navy vessels collided in the Strait of Hormuz between Oman and Iran, a crucial passageway for supertankers.

The collision would not block the waterway, but any incident in that area can spook markets.

The U.S. Navy's 5th Fleet said the collision occurred at 5 p.m. ET on Thursday between the USS Hartford, a submarine, and the USS New Orleans, an amphibious assault ship.

Fifteen soldiers aboard the Hartford were slightly injured but able to return to duty.

“Whenever we see something going on in that area, we always see an uptick in prices,” said Addison Armstrong, director of market research at Tradition Energy. “It's a very narrow area. It's choked with ships. And it's in a volatile region.”

About 17 million barrels of oil moved through the narrow straight in the first half of last year, roughly 40 per cent of the crude that's traded at sea, according to the Energy Information Administration. At its narrowest, the strait measures 34-kilometres across and forms a bottleneck for ships trying to get in and out of the Persian Gulf.

Also on Friday, analysts with Morgan Stanley said a sharp drop-off in deep water drilling projects could cut crude supplies by another 2.4 million barrels a day in 2011.

Retail gas prices in the United States climbed for the third straight day. Prices at the pump rose overnight to a new national average of $1.942 a gallon, according to auto club AAA, Wright Express and Oil Price Information Service. Gas is 1.5 cents a gallon cheaper than a month ago and $1.33 a gallon cheaper than it was last year.

In Canada, the price at the pump averaged 88.7 cents Canadian per litre, according to price-watching website GasBuddy.com.

In other Nymex trading, gasoline for April delivery rose almost 2 cents to settle at $1.457 a gallon. Heating oil also rose 2.7 cents to settle at 1.3834 a gallon. Natural gas for April delivery rose 5.3 cents to settle at $4.227 per 1,000 cubic feet.

In London, Brent prices rose 55 cents to settle at $51.22 on the ICE Futures exchange.

greedy bankers are ugly symptoms of an age of inequality

When wealth became a character flaw

From Saturday's Globe and Mail

As we examine the entrails of Wall Street's still rotting corpse, it doesn't take the gifts of an augur to foretell our postcrash future. It will, at least temporarily, be one of asceticism. Conspicuous consumption is the new smoking. Wealth, and the desire for it, have become character flaws.

The bankers we want to see pilloried, imprisoned or disembowelled — a sentiment whose intensity, judging from the tabloids, appears to be inversely related to our incomes — have outdone themselves in their ability to make us hate them. And they just keep on outdoing themselves, as demonstrated by the $165-million (U.S.) that American International Group Inc., now a ward of the state, just paid out in retention bonuses to many of the same top executives who drove the insurance giant, and the rest of financial system, into the ground.

Even the most measured among us nod at headlines such as: "Not So Fast You Greedy Bastards." This outrage, like this financial crisis, is global. In Britain, it has found its whipping boy in Sir Fred Goodwin, who "retired" at 50 as the head of the Royal Bank of Scotland in November, claiming a full pension worth more than £700,000 a year. This is the same Sir Fred whose disastrous deal-making drove the bank to a £24-billion loss in 2008 — the biggest in British corporate history — forcing Gordon Brown's government to put up billions in bailout money. "Off with his Fred," The Mirror blared.

In Canada, where our banks' legendary lethargy has turned out to be their saving grace, the chief executives at the Big Six had the good sense to voluntarily forgo bonuses for 2008 lest they get us hankering for the return of capital punishment. Perhaps sensing the mob's appetite for blood, they also agreed — not all of them willingly, mind you — to submit executive compensation to non-binding shareholder votes. Giving investors a "say on pay" is, by the standards of Canadian banking, a revolution in itself.

A PRETEXT TO SOAK THE RICH

If U.S. President Barack Obama needed a pretext to soak the rich, the AIG executives and their ilk have certainly given him one. It hardly seems coincidental that such a progressive politician as Mr. Obama was elected on the heels of the most protracted rise in income inequality in the United States since the one that began with the Gilded Age in the late 19th century. That boom ended with the Depression, a cataclysm brought on in part by the same kind of financial speculation that created the current mess. Those who are still wondering why they didn't see this crash coming were probably just not looking at the right data. Instead of wondering whether stocks were overvalued, derivatives were ticking time bombs, or housing was in a bubble, they should have just looked at how skewed income distribution had become.

Just as the New Deal would likely not have been possible without the Depression as its catalyst, Mr. Obama's attack on income inequality would face a much tougher row to hoe were it not for AIG and all it represents. The era that spanned from Franklin Roosevelt to Lyndon Johnson was one of rising real wages that culminated in the most equal distribution of wealth in U.S. history. Is that history about to repeat itself?

"There's nothing wrong with making money, but there is something wrong when we allow the playing field to be tilted so far in the favour of so few," states Mr. Obama's proposed budget, tabled last month. "We need to remember that throughout our history, the United States has grown and prospered when all Americans have shared in the opportunities created by our economy … The past eight years have discredited once and for all the philosophy of trickle-down economics — that tax breaks, income gains and wealth creation among the wealthy will eventually work their way down to the middle class. In its place, we need economic opportunity to trickle up."

Mr. Obama proposes to raise the top two marginal rates on personal income, now 33 per cent and 35 per cent, to 36 per cent and 39.6 per cent, respectively, starting in 2011. The new rates would kick in at a household income of $250,000. The "rich" would also lose their ability to deduct interest on their mortgages. Dividends and capital gains would be taxed at 20 per cent instead of 15 per cent. Mr. Obama would keep the estate tax that the previous Republican administration had proposed to eliminate next year. The Wall Street weekly Barron's called the budget "bad news for investors and affluent individuals." Given the times, it will probably only make Mr. Obama more popular.

Mr. Obama's budget paints an ugly picture of what Ronald Reagan started and George W. Bush finished. Between 1980 and 2004, the portion of national income earned by the top 1 per cent of U. S. households doubled from 10 to 22 per cent. The combined net worth of the top 1 per cent was higher than the total for the bottom 90 per cent. In constant dollars, the average income of the top 400 U.S. taxpayers quadrupled between 1992 and 2004. The middle class in particular lost ground.

Canadians should save their indignation for their own governments. Income inequality, on both a pre- and after-tax basis, actually rose faster in Canada than in the United States in the decade between 1995 and 2005, according to an Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development study released in October. The growth differential was considerable in the latter part of the decade, a period characterized by large income-tax cuts by Ottawa and most provinces, declining real welfare benefits and tighter eligibility rules for employment insurance payments.

Still, overall, Canada has a somewhat more equal distribution of income, with a Gini coefficient (a statistical measure of income inequality) of 0.32 compared to 0.38 in the United States. We're not exactly Denmark, which registers a 0.23 on the Gini index. But we have proportionately fewer of the obscenely rich, and outside Alberta, a more progressive tax system.

If the Reagan-Bush tax cuts entrenched income inequality in the United States, how did the rich accumulate so much more pretax income in the first place? Two words: Wall Street. Much of the focus of activist shareholders' and anti-poverty advocates' wrath has been on CEO pay — noting that the average big boss now earns more than 350 times the salary of the average worker, up from 45 times three decades ago. But the real drivers of wealth accumulation in recent years have been the massive bonuses earned in the financial industry, according to a study by two University of Chicago professors, Steven Kaplan and Joshua Rauh.

Forget bank CEOs. Most of them were making whole lot less than the underlings who traded all those newfangled financial instruments. But even they were paupers compared to private-equity and hedge-fund managers, the top 50 of whom earned an average $588-million in 2007, according to the Institute for Policy Studies, a left-leaning U.S. think tank.

The bankers who underwrote subprime mortgages, packaged and peddled asset-backed securities and bought and sold credit default swaps might just be the modern-day incarnation of what the 19th- and early 20th-century economic essayist Thorstein Veblen called the "leisure class." Their "work" consisted of shifting around wealth, rather than creating it, much like the original leveraged buyout barbarians of the 1980s.

Barbarians don't produce anything. They just take things away from others. Then they show off their booty. That makes others envious. So, they try to emulate the barbarians, or at least try to look as rich as they are.

Veblen also reminds us of why any return of the pendulum, characterized by Mr. Obama's redistributive mission, is likely to be just that. Pendulums are always moving. Once the excesses are purged, and the United States feels sufficiently cleansed, the pursuit of happiness — a euphemism for property ownership — will resume. Conspicuous consumption, a term coined by Veblen, is not dead. It's just taking a breather.

"Ownership began and grew into a human institution on grounds unrelated to the subsistence minimum," he wrote. "The dominant incentive was from the outset the invidious distinction attaching to wealth, and, save temporarily and by exception, no other motive has usurped the primacy at any later stage of development."

OUR PREDATORY INSTINCTS

Our urge to keep up with the Joneses is almost primal. "The motive that lies at the root of ownership is emulation," Veblen asserted. "Property set out with being booty held as trophies of a successful raid. … As industrial activity displaced predatory activity, accumulated property more and more replaces trophies of predatory exploit as the conventional exponent of prepotence and success."

We can try to tame our predatory instincts, as Mr. Obama no doubt will do with his tax changes, but it will always be a bit like tilting at windmills. Veblen, who wrote during the Gilded Age, observed that the urge to redistribute wealth is not particularly a human trait. Or, at the very least, it is not a strong enough one to overcome "the desire of every one to excel every one else in the accumulation of goods."

Not me, you say?

Ask yourself that the next time, likely in 2010 or so, that you splurge on a new-generation wafer-thin organic light-emitting diode television, whose million-to-one contrast is wholly undetectable to the human eye. Ask yourself that the next time you salivate over that Miele W2839 washing machine. It's not because it will make your clothes any cleaner.

Mad at the bankers? Don't be. They are us.

Thursday, March 19, 2009

Bill taxing AIG bonuses passes

Bill taxing AIG bonuses passes

STEPHEN OHLEMACHER
Thursday, March 19, 2009
WASHINGTON — Acting with lightning speed, the Democratic-led House has approved a bill to slap punishing taxes on big employee bonuses from firms bailed out by taxpayers.

The vote was 328-93.

Said House Speaker Nancy Pelosi: “We want our money back and we want our money back now for the taxpayers.”

Republicans called it a legally questionable ploy to paper over Obama administration missteps.

Minority Leader John Boehner, R-Ohio, said the bill was “a political circus” diverting attention from why the administration hadn't done more to block the bonuses before they were paid.

The bonuses, totalling $165-million (U.S.), were paid to employees of troubled insurer American International Group, including to traders in the unit that nearly brought about the company's collapse.

Boomers-With the biggest demographic bulge saying no to stocks, can there possibly be a bull market recovery?

The boomer threat

Thursday, March 19, 2009

Here's something to worry about: Baby Boomers, who have seen their collective savings go nowhere over the past decade thanks to volatility in the stock market, decide that they've had it up to here with stocks and stay out of the market as their retirement nears. With the biggest demographic bulge saying no to stocks, can there possibly be a bull market recovery?

Tobias Levkovich, a Citigroup strategist, addressed this issue in a note to clients this week. He said that boomers did indeed contribute to the bull market that began in the early 1980s, because it was then that they began to sock away money for retirement, putting a lot of it in stocks. And yes, there must be a replacement for them if they exit the market.

Some academics have pointed to foreign investors as possible fill-ins. However, Mr. Levkovich believes that the generation of youngsters born in the 1970s, most of them to boomer parents, could be even better suited.

The population of this generation is almost as large as the baby boomers, and many of them are now entering their prime savings years, ranging between 35 and 39 years of age.

“Most critically, from an investor perspective, this highly innovative generation will enter its savings years in 2012-2013, potentially setting up the next period of savings growth,” he said.

As well, he quibbles with the idea that boomers will give up on stocks in a big way just because it has been a lousy decade for them.

“Keep in mind that baby boomers are living longer and thus may work many more years than their parents did,” he said. “Thus, age 62½ does not mean retirement as it once may have. In addition, they need to see their investments appreciate in price, especially after recent developments, rather than just generate paltry fixed income returns from ‘safe' Treasuries to help sustain themselves for many more years.”

[amp]nbsp;

© Copyright The Globe and Mail

BNK Houses 3:40PM




Wednesday, March 18, 2009

MARKET TALK: Go Long Canadian Lifecos, Short Banks

MARKET TALK: Go Long Canadian Lifecos, Short Banks


10:06 EDT Wednesday, March 18, 2009

Edited by Paul Vigna
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

MARKET TALK can be found using N/DJMT


10:06 (Dow Jones) Martin Roberge at Dundee Securities has an idea for a pair trade based on valuation: go long Canadian life-insurance companies and short Canadian banks. Lifecos have deeply underperformed banks, he notes, and are trading at a 30% discount on a P/BV basis. Also, in a historic first, lifeco dividend yields are above those of banks. Meanwhile, Canadian banks have rallied back to their 100-day moving average, while lifecos are still 19% below theirs. "If our view of an 'above-average' bear-market rally materializes, lifecos have more room or torque on the upside," he says. (MAG)

9:59 (Dow Jones) BMO Capital Markets starts coverage of Canada's Biovail (BVF) at market perform, saying new management has made "solid progress" in turning the company around. However, the stock is up 70% from its recent lows and a lot of the hard work remains ahead. "Additional licensing should occur, but we need to better recognize the asset and price paid to gain more enthusiasm," firm says. In New York, BVF up 1.3% at $11.98. (AMG)

9:49 (Dow Jones) Eli Lilly's (LLY) anti-clotting drug Effient is on track for a 2Q launch, Citigroup says, and it should command a premium price over Bristol- Myer's (BMY) Plavix due to an apparent lower chance of stent blood clots versus Plavix. Citigroup says Effient's progress is a leading indicator for LLY stock and upgrades it to buy from hold - firm expects Effient to be priced at $5 to $ 5.15/day and to contribute $2B in risk adjusted global sales by 2015. Firm raises LLY's target price to $41 from $36. LLY up 2.3% to $32.47. (EBW)

9:43 (Dow Jones) Meritage (MTH) is well positioned to weather the current downturn and emerge stronger, UBS says, citing liquidity, asset-light operating strategy and geographic exposure, especially in Texas. MTH expects to generate free cash flow this year, enhancing financial flexibility and allowing it to take advantage of the growing number of opportunities to acquire distressed lots at attractive prices. MTH down 2.8% at $11.20. (DWH)

9:39 (Dow Jones) Bringing Sun Microsystems (JAVA) under the IBM umbrella would be a challenge, analyst Shannon Cross of Cross Research says. "Sun is undergoing a significant restructuring and you are going to have to finish that restucturing and then likely do some pretty significant cuts as well," Cross says. She compares the integration of JAVA into IBM to the deal between H-P ( HPQ) and Compaq, in that the JAVA acquisition means meshing many similar product lines, such as servers. JAVA up 64% to $8.16; IBM down 2.2% to $90.84. (JDC)

9:34 (Dow Jones) Merck (MRK) CEO Richard Clark says drug maker hasn't made final decision on what will become of its 50% stake in animal-health joint venture with Sanofi (SNY), in light of planned acquisition of Schering-Plough ( SGP), which has its own animal-health assets. He tells Cowen conference that based on early discussions with SNY, there was "misunderstanding" in recent media report that MRK might sell its stake to SNY. (PDL)

9:31 (Dow Jones) Warren Buffett is "is known for piquant and unsparing criticism of his own performance, as well as the institutional flaws of Wall Street," says New York Times' DealBook. "But on the subject of the conflict of interest built into the rating agencies' business model, Mr. Buffett has been uncharacteristically silent - even though that conflict is especially glaring in his case because one of the companies that Moody's rates is Berkshire." Buffett owns a stake of roughly 20% in Moody's, parent of one of the three rating agencies that grade debt issued by corporations and banks looking to raise money, blog notes. (KNN) (http://dealbook.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/03/18/buffett- is-unusually-silent-on-rating-agencies/)

9:28 (Dow Jones) Thomas Weisel raises Leap Wireless (LEAP) to overweight from market weight, noting prepaid wireless carriers appear to be prime beneficiaries of the severe economic conditions. Firm says LEAP has forecast continued growth and appears on track with the successful launches in the Chicago and Philadelphia markets. LEAP's flexpay programs exhibit solid prepaid net additions, attracting customers drawn to the affordability of the plans and the short contracts. LEAP up 1% premarket at $35.49. (AMC)

9:22 (Dow Jones) Credit Suisse notes General Mills' (GIS) adjusted 3Q EPS of 79c was below its expectation of 85c and below consensus of 88c. The company raising fiscal-year forecast is a positive sign, firm says, even if it is still below consensus. The company's US retail results were not bad, relative to peers, firm says. The problem, firm says, was in the "volatile" bakeries and foodservice divisions. GIS down 6.9% premarket at $49.95. (AAC)

Click here to go to Dow Jones NewsPlus, a web front page of today's most important business and market news, analysis and commentary: http:// www.djnewsplus.com/nae/al?rnd=YP4aEomnnr3fVmx9HToUdQ%3D%3D. You can use this link on the day this article is published and the following day.


(END) Dow Jones Newswires
03-18-09 1006ET
Copyright (c) 2009 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.

BNK Houses Weisel Accumulation=$$$4U








Tuesday, March 17, 2009

73 AIG execs received million-dollar bonuses

“These payments were all made to individuals in the subsidiary whose performance led to crushing losses and the near failure of AIG,” Mr. Cuomo wrote. “Thus, last week, AIG made more than 73 millionaires in the unit which lost so much money that it brought the firm to its knees, forcing a taxpayer bailout. Something is deeply wrong with this outcome.”

According to the attorney general's office, the top individual bonus was more than $6.4-million, and the top seven received more than $4-million each.


73 AIG execs received million-dollar bonuses

Print this article
MICHAEL VIRTANEN
Tuesday, March 17, 2009

ALBANY, N.Y. — New York Attorney-General Andrew Cuomo said Tuesday that troubled insurance giant American International Group paid bonuses of $1-million (U.S.) or more to 73 employees, including 11 who no longer work for the company.

Mr. Cuomo subpoenaed information from AIG on Monday to determine whether the payments made over the past weekend constitute fraud under state law. He says contracts written in March 2008 guaranteed employees 100 per cent of their 2007 pay for 2008, regardless of their performance.

President Barack Obama and Washington lawmakers have blasted AIG for paying more than $160-million in bonuses to employees of its Financial Products division, the unit primarily responsible for the meltdown that led to a federal bailout of the company. Mr. Cuomo said AIG mailed the bonus cheques Friday.

The company and some federal regulators have said it was obligated by contract to make the payments, prompting Mr. Cuomo to request copies of the contracts. He said the bonuses might have been fraudulent if AIG officials knew the company couldn't afford them.

“You could argue if the taxpayers didn't bail out AIG, those contracts wouldn't be worth the paper it's printed on,” he said Monday.

AIG spokeswoman Christina Pretto said Monday the company was in ongoing contact with Mr. Cuomo's office and would respond to his requests for information and the subpoena. There was no immediate AIG comment following Mr. Cuomo's disclosure Tuesday of the bonus amounts. Mr. Cuomo did not release the names of the recipients.

In a letter Tuesday to Rep. Barney Frank, chairman of the House Committee on Financial Services, Mr. Cuomo outlined the bonus and contract information and asked the panel to take up the issue at a hearing scheduled for Wednesday.

“These payments were all made to individuals in the subsidiary whose performance led to crushing losses and the near failure of AIG,” Mr. Cuomo wrote. “Thus, last week, AIG made more than 73 millionaires in the unit which lost so much money that it brought the firm to its knees, forcing a taxpayer bailout. Something is deeply wrong with this outcome.”

According to the attorney general's office, the top individual bonus was more than $6.4-million, and the top seven received more than $4-million each.

© Copyright The Globe and Mail

Thomas Weisel Accumulating BNK-T 96% Buy To 2.00+






Happy St. Patty's Day







“We are becoming our grandparents; we're starting to think in terms of savings,” CIBC World Markets economist Benjamin Tal said. “I think this is going to be a profound change in the way we are viewing the economy and spending.”

There may be a darker side to the steep decline in net worth. Economists fear it could mean the current recession will be longer and deeper than others in recent decades.



From Tuesday's Globe and Mail

OTTAWA — Canadians are retrenching as their net worth erodes rapidly amid the current market turmoil, boosting their savings and growing increasingly conservative with their finances.

Household net worth fell 4.4 per cent in the fourth quarter last year, marking the largest quarterly drop since Statistics Canada began collecting such data in 1990, the agency said Monday. Net worth is a measure of household assets including property and investments versus liabilities such as credit card debt and mortgages.

Canadians have now seen their net worth drop by $14,000 over two consecutive quarters from $179,300 per capita at the end of June to $165,300 by Dec. 31.

Economists say declining wealth is prompting more Canadians to save money, marking a profound shift in the psyche of a generation that has never seen a such major market correction.

“We are becoming our grandparents; we're starting to think in terms of savings,” CIBC World Markets economist Benjamin Tal said. “I think this is going to be a profound change in the way we are viewing the economy and spending.”

There may be a darker side to the steep decline in net worth. Economists fear it could mean the current recession will be longer and deeper than others in recent decades.

The concern is that consumers will hamper growth as they cut spending because of worries about their declining property or investment portfolio values, a phenomenon known as the wealth effect.

From what he calls his position “on the front lines” of the market turmoil, Kurt Rosentreter, a certified financial planner at Manulife Securities, says he is seeing nervous clients take an extremely conservative approach to managing their money because of the declines they've faced in their investment portfolios.

Many are opting to sit on the sidelines and conserve their cash even if the “textbook” approach in a downturn is to buy securities at bargain prices, he said. Most of his clients come to him asking for low-risk savings vehicles.

“When you follow the news and see what your friends are doing and when it becomes the talk of the day at the water cooler, you get scared,” he said.

“The emotional side [overtakes] the textbook analysis, and you say, ‘Right about now, I sleep better at night knowing I bought a GIC or a term deposit or a bond mutual fund.”

Douglas Porter, deputy chief economist at BMO Nesbitt Burns, said consumer spending numbers already show Canadians were scaling back their consumption by the fourth quarter of last year, and it is now clear they were reacting quickly to their wealth decline, especially since jobless levels only began to rise sharply in early 2009.

“Clearly, consumers were responding quite quickly to something beyond just what was facing them in terms of their jobs or their mortgage payments,” he said. “They were clearly responding to the hit to their wealth as quickly as the fourth quarter.”

Mr. Porter argues the current downturn could exceed other recent recessions because of the heavier hit to household wealth this time around.

“This downturn will easily rival what we saw in the early 1990s and even potentially the early 1980s because the consumer is taking such a heavy one-two punch from the big losses in employment and an extraordinarily large drop in household wealth,” he said.

The Bank of Canada has also recently begun to signal it is watching the impact of the wealth effect on the economy.

In a March 3 release, the central bank noted that delays in stabilizing the global financial system “along with larger-than-anticipated confidence and wealth effects on domestic demand” now point to a “sharper decline” in Canadian economic activity than initially forecast.

Economists also believe household wealth is likely to decline even further in the first quarter of this year as investors face further stock market declines as well as an accelerating drop in house values.

New data Monday from the Canadian Real Estate Association showed that while the number of existing home sales improved slightly in February, average prices were down 9.2 per cent from the same month last year, with a majority of major markets reporting price declines in the month.

While Canadians' wealth is declining, however, the numbers are dwarfed by the cuts experienced in the United States, where households have faced six consecutive quarters of declines. In the past two quarters of 2008, Americans saw their household net worth drop by $66,000 compared with $14,000 in Canada.

Mr. Tal, meanwhile, said he remains deeply concerned about the increasing debt levels of Canadian consumers, which rose further still in the final quarter of last year. 

Monday, March 16, 2009

Pescod's Views



House Buy And Sells TLM,BNK,OPC,PDP





Warren Buffett settles for $100,000 Salary The level it's been for more than 25 years.

Buffett settles for $100,000
Billionaire's salary static even as his net worth falls
March 14, 2009

Associated Press

NEW YORK–The world's second-richest man, Warren Buffett, wasn't even the highest paid employee at Berkshire Hathaway's 19-person headquarters again last year.

Buffett, chair and chief executive of the Omaha, Neb.-based company, received a total of $175,000 (U.S.) in compensation in 2008, the same amount he received a year earlier, according to a regulatory filing made yesterday.

Berkshire's chief financial officer, Marc Hamburg, earned the highest-paid distinction at company headquarters.

Buffett's base salary remained at $100,000, the level it's been for more than 25 years. He picked up an additional $75,000 for director's fees from some outside companies in which Berkshire has significant investments. That pay did not change from 2007, either.

Buffett, one of the most successful investors in history, has been an outspoken critic of lavish executive compensation packages at other companies. In keeping with that philosophy, his own company doesn't award large pay packages or give out perks or stock options.

While Buffett's pay remained unchanged, his net worth tumbled and he fell from his perch as the world's richest person, according to Forbes magazine.

Forbes valued Buffett's net worth at $37 billion, $25 billion less than a year earlier, when the magazine estimated he was worth $62 billion.

Berkshire Hathaway's profit slid as well in 2008. For the full year, Berkshire's net income fell to $4.99 billion, from $13.21 billion in 2007.

Berkshire owns more than 60 companies, including insurance, furniture, jewellery, and utilities. 

60 Minutes:Recession could end this year: Bernanke


Recession could end this year: Bernanke

March 15, 2009


WASHINGTON–The United States' recession "probably" will end this year if the government succeeds in bolstering the banking system, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said Sunday in a rare television interview.

In carefully hedged remarks in a taped interview with CBS' "60 Minutes," Bernanke seemed to express a bit more optimism that this could be done.

Still, Bernanke stressed – as he did to Congress last month – that the prospects for the recession ending this year and a recovery taking root next year hinge on a difficult task: getting banks to lend more freely again and getting the financial markets to work more normally.

"We've seen some progress in the financial markets, absolutely," Bernanke said. "But until we get that stabilized and working normally, we're not going to see recovery.

"But we do have a plan. We're working on it. And, I do think that we will get it stabilized, and we'll see the recession coming to an end probably this year."

Even if the recession, which began in December 2007, ends this year, the unemployment rate will keep climbing past the current quarter-century high of 8.1 per cent, Bernanke said.

A growing number of economists think the jobless rate will hit 10 per cent by the end of this year.

Asked about the biggest potential dangers now, Bernanke suggested a lack of "political will" to solve the financial crisis.

He said, though, that the United States has averted the risk of plunging into a depression.

"I think we've gotten past that," he said.

It's rare for a sitting Fed chief to grant an interview, whether for broadcast or print. Bernanke said he chose to do so because it's an "extraordinary time" for the country, and it gave him a chance to speak directly to the American public.

Bernanke spoke at a time of rising public anger over financial bailouts using taxpayer money. Battling the worst financial crisis since the 1930s, the government has put hundreds of billions of those dollars at risk to prop up troubled institutions and stabilize the banking system.

Institutions that have been thrown lifelines include American International Group Inc., Citigroup Inc., Bank of America Corp., mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and others.

Democrats and Republicans on Capitol Hill have questioned the effectiveness of the rescue efforts and have demanded more information about how taxpayers' money is being used.

Bernanke's TV interview seemed to be part of a government public relations offensive. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner appeared on PBS' "The Charlie Rose Show" last week, discussing the financial crisis and the Obama's administration's relief efforts.

The Fed chief on Sunday's broadcast repeated his ire over the AIG bailout, saying that over the past 18 months, that was the case that angered him the most. He recalled "slamming the phone more than a few times on discussing AIG."

The government's four efforts to save the troubled insurance giant total more than US$170 billion. A collapse of AIG would have wreaked havoc on the global economy, the Fed has said.

AIG ignited fresh outrage over the weekend with news that it's making $165 million in bonus payments to executives on Sunday, most of them in the unit that sold risky financial contracts that caused huge losses for AIG.

When the financial crisis intensified last fall, Bernanke and President George W. Bush's Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson rushed to Capitol Hill for help. That led to the swift enactment of a $700 billion bailout package in October. Since then, banks have received billions in capital injections in return for government ownership stakes in them.

Looking back, Bernanke said the world came close to a financial meltdown. Asked how close, Bernanke responded: "It was very close."

Bernanke admitted that the Fed could have done a better job of overseeing banks. Critics say lax regulatory oversight contributed to the crisis.

Bernanke said he believes all the big banks the Fed regulates are solvent. Big banks won't fail under his watch, Bernanke said – though, if necessary, the government should try to "wind it down in a safe way."

Sunday, March 15, 2009

AIG bonuses spark outrage in Washington

TheStar.com - Business - 


AIG bonuses spark outrage in Washington
March 15, 2009
ASSOCIATED PRESS

WASHINGTON–Leaders of the White House economic team and the Senate's top Republican bellowed about bonuses at a bailed-out insurance giant and pledged to prevent such payments in the future.

From one Sunday talk show to the next, they tore into the contracts that American International Group asserted had to be honoured, to the tune of about $165 million (U.S.) and payable to executives by Sunday, even as the company has benefited from more than $170 billion in a federal rescue.

AIG has agreed to Obama administration requests to restrain future payments. U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner pressed the president's case with AIG's chairman, Edward Liddy, last week.

"He stepped in and berated them, got them to reduce the bonuses following every legal means he has to do this," said Austan Goolsbee, staff director of President Barack Obama's Economic Recovery Advisory Board.

"I don't know why they would follow a policy that's really not sensible, is obviously going to ignite the ire of millions of people, and we've done exactly what we can do to prevent this kind of thing from happening again," Goolsbee said.

Added Lawrence Summers, Obama's top economic adviser: "The easy thing would be to just say ... off with their heads, violate the contracts. But you have to think about the consequences of breaking contracts for the overall system of law, for the overall financial system."

Summers said Geithner used all his power, "both legal and moral, to reduce the level of these bonus payments."

The Democratic administration's argument about the sanctity of contracts was more than Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky could bear.

"For them to simply sit there and blame it on the previous administration or claim contract – we all know that contracts are valid in this country, but they need to be looked at," McConnell said. "Did they enter into these contracts knowing full well that, as a practical matter, the taxpayers of the United States were going to be reimbursing their employees? Particularly employees who got them into this mess in the first place? I think it's an outrage."

AIG reported this month that it had lost $61.7 billion for the fourth quarter of last year, the largest corporate loss in history.

In a letter to Geithner dated Saturday, Liddy said outside lawyers had informed the company that AIG had contractual obligations to make the bonus payments and could face lawsuits if it did not do so.

Liddy said in his letter that "quite frankly, AIG's hands are tied," although he said that in light of the company's current situation he found it "distasteful and difficult" to recommend going forward with the payments.

Liddy said the company had entered into the bonus agreements in early 2008 before AIG got into severe financial straits and was forced to obtain a government bailout last fall.

The bulk of the payments at issue cover AIG Financial Products, the unit of the company that sold credit default swaps, the risky contracts that caused massive losses for the insurer.

Goolsbee acknowledged the AIG example could make it harder to sell the administration's financial plan to Congress.

"Yes, you worry about that backlash. But you're also angry that this would happen at an institution that has been so troubled and you're trying to save. So I think that's perfectly fair," he said.

Goolsbee appeared on Fox News Sunday, and Summers was on CBS' Face the Nation and ABC's This Week, where McConnell also was interviewed.


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