Friday, November 16, 2018

APHA Buy And Sells

House Positions for C:APHA from 20181116 to 20181116
HouseBought$ValAveSold$ValAveNet$Net
15 UBS4,10053,61613.077631,4708,090,05612.811-627,3708,036,440
1 Anonymous1,046,33613,536,22312.9371,207,63715,646,19312.956-161,3012,109,970
39 Merrill Lynch497,6666,424,34612.909647,7648,375,39712.93-150,0981,951,051
53 Morgan Stanley44,414570,45312.844108,6911,387,49612.766-64,277817,043
2 RBC558,3257,237,16412.962578,7397,493,68412.948-20,414256,520
13 Instinet74,710968,61712.96591,2001,186,60713.011-16,490217,990
101 SG Capital4005,18812.9713,700176,86012.909-13,300171,672
65 Goldman1,30016,41212.62510,796137,30612.718-9,496120,894
14 ITG10,100132,88513.15718,999243,60012.822-8,899110,715
57 Interactive4,82062,56112.9799,476121,56412.829-4,65659,003
143 Pershing9,305120,42412.94211,209145,50812.981-1,90425,084
76 Industrial Alliance01,00013,16713.167-1,00013,167
72 Credit Suisse16,500214,45112.99717,400225,95312.986-90011,502
56 Edward Jones3754,84612.92381510,44312.813-4405,597
70 Manulife2503,20812.8322503,18512.740-23
62 Haywood2,00025,60012.801,00013,38013.381,000-12,220
48 Laurentian1,00012,93012.9301,000-12,930
22 Fidelity1,00012,75712.75701,000-12,757
35 Friedberg1,50020,05513.3701,500-20,055
36 Latimer4,91863,13712.8383,15741,22413.0581,761-21,913
28 BBS8,888114,98912.9385,59172,11312.8983,297-42,876
89 Raymond James7,75099,43312.832503,20012.807,500-96,233
33 Canaccord12,520160,91212.8523,10039,65012.799,420-121,262
88 Credential50,012650,53713.00825,746336,16013.05724,266-314,377
19 Desjardins59,505770,13112.94230,963400,31212.92928,542-369,819
99 Jitney191,6002,477,50312.931157,7002,048,52112.9933,900-428,982
80 National Bank170,9172,208,14612.919104,8451,350,71112.88366,072-857,435
9 BMO Nesbitt254,8853,309,13412.983176,5142,294,06012.99678,371-1,015,074
4 Cantor Fitz100,0001,274,04012.740100,000-1,274,040
79 CIBC1,771,75122,901,91012.9261,639,72421,235,57012.951132,027-1,666,340
124 Questrade301,6583,917,46712.986162,3922,100,30112.934139,266-1,817,166
85 Scotia421,2095,459,18012.961233,6883,028,81012.961187,521-2,430,370
7 TD Sec952,85812,308,43112.917688,7568,915,65512.945264,102-3,392,776
TOTAL6,582,57285,136,68612.9346,582,57285,136,68612.93400

APHRIA INC. (APHA): INSIDERS SMELL A BARGAIN?

November 14 2018

Aphria Inc. (APHA) hit an intraday high Tuesday at $11.46. The shares finished at $10.3, after trading as low as $10.24 earlier in the session. It dropped -8.69% in recent trade and currently has a stock-market value of $2.39B. Trading activity significantly improved as the volume at ready counter increased to 3,191,223 shares versus 2,790,285 in average daily trading volume over the past 20 days. So far this year, the volume has averaged about 1,402,368 shares. The stock is now 65.33% above against its bear-market low of $6.23 on November 16, 2017. It has retreated -92.91% since it’s 52-week high of $19.87 reached in January. Now the market price is up 43.25% on the year and down -30.17% YTD.
APHA’s 50 day simple moving average (SMA 50) price is $13.64 and its 200-day simple moving average (SMA 200) price is $10.54. The company’s stock currently has a total float of 214.71M shares. Its weekly volatility is hovering around 9.1% and felt 13.51% volatility in price over a month. On the upside, the share price will test short term resistance at around $11.09. On a downside, the stock is likely to find some support, which begins at $9.87. The failure to get near-term support could push it to $9.45.
Wall Street’s most bullish Aphria Inc. (NYSE:APHA) analysts are predicting the share price to blow past $33 per share during the next 12 months. The current median share price forecast by them is $25.75, suggesting that the stock could increase 150% in that time frame. The average price target of $25.69 calls for a nearly 149.42% increase in the stock price.
When looking at valuations, Aphria Inc. (APHA) has a pricey P/E of 76.3x as compared to industry average of 28x. Also, it is trading at rather expensive levels at just over 2.47x price/book and 86.25x price/sales.
APHA last reported earnings on October 12, 2018 when it released Aug-18 results that exceeded expectations. The company raked in $0.06 per share, -100.03% change on the same period last year. That was better than consensus for -$0.06. Revenue for the recent quarter stood at $13.29 million, up 117% on last year and below the $14 million predicted by analysts. For this quarter, Wall Street analysts forecast revenue in a range of $10.4 million to $12 million, which should be compared with $0 generated last year.

Money Managers Are Loading Up On Aphria Inc. (APHA)

Aphria Inc. (NYSE:APHA) enjoyed a 53.07% run-up in share price since hitting record low of $6.23. The stock managed -7.38% fall and now stands at $9.54 as of 11/14/2018. At recent session, the prices were hovering between $9.26 and $10.24. This company shares are -100% up from its target price of $0 and the current market capitalization stands at $2.22B. The recent change has given its price a -30.08% deficit over SMA 50 and -51.99% deficit over its 52-week high. The stock witnessed -33.89% declines, 21.07% gains and 2.84% gains for the 1-month, 3-month and 6-month period, respectively. To measure price-variation, we found APHA’s volatility during a week at 9.22% and during a month it has been found around 13.35%.
Aphria Inc. (APHA) Top Holders
Institutional investors currently hold around $4 million or 0% in APHA stock. Look at its top three institutional owners. Hellman Jordan Management Co Inc /Ma/ owns $3.25 million in Aphria Inc., which represents roughly 0.15% of the company’s market cap and approximately 81.13% of the institutional ownership. Similar statistics are true for the second largest owner, Mcgowan Group Asset Management, Inc., which owns 24,888 shares of the stock are valued at $256 thousand. The third largest holder is Highpoint Advisor Group Llc, which currently holds $130 thousand worth of this stock and that ownership represents nearly 0.01% of its market capitalization.
Aphria Inc. 13F Filings
At the end of June reporting period, 6 institutional holders increased their position in Aphria Inc. (NYSE:APHA) by some 31,746 shares, 3 decreased positions by 548 and 4 held positions by 327,135. That puts total institutional holdings at 359,429 shares, according to SEC filings. The stock grabbed 4 new institutional investments totaling 16,496 shares while 1 institutional investors sold out their entire positions totaling 300 shares.
Aphria Inc. (APHA) Analyst Guide
Several analysts have released their opinion on Aphria Inc. (NYSE:APHA), with 4 analysts believing it is a strong buy. Whereas 0 of them predict the stock is a hold. Also, there are 3 buy, 0 sell and 0 strong sell ratings, collectively assigning a 1.43 average brokerage recommendation.

Thursday, November 15, 2018

Lawsuit throws German cannabis program into limbo; deadline delayed to Dec. 11

Advantage for importers
Another delay in handing out domestic cultivation licenses would give an advantage to international companies currently supplying the German medical cannabis market, as locally produced MMJ could be pushed to 2020 or beyond.
Companies from Canada and the Netherlands are exporting a record amount of medical cannabis to Germany.
Another large Canadian medical cannabis company, Ontario-based Aphria, announced last week its intention to buy Densborn, Germany-based CC Pharma for 24.5 million euros ($28 million) in cash on closing and another 23.5 million euros if certain performance milestones are met.
Aphria aims to obtain its European Union Good Manufacturing Practices (GMP) – an essential European quality standard – joining Aurora, Maricann, Cronos, Tilray and Canopy Growth.
Only EU GMP-certified companies can export medical cannabis products to Germany.
Advantage 
Lawsuit throws German cannabis program into limbo; deadline delayed to Dec. 11

Another lawsuit challenging the application process to grow medical cannabis in Germany could throw the already-delayed domestic cultivation plans even further into a state of uncertainty.
In an update to the public tender, the German Federal Institute for Drugs and Medical Devices (BfArM) disclosed a lawsuit filed in the Dusseldorf Higher Regional Court (OLG Dusseldorf).
The current deadline to apply – already pushed from Oct. 22 to Nov.  5 – stands at Dec. 11.
According to the BfArM notice, the case is expected to be decided around April 2019.
On Thursday, BfArM moved the date until which companies must bind their offers grow medical marijuana to April, so it is unclear when the winners of the application process will be awarded.
Germany had intended to award the country’s first domestic licenses in the first quarter of next year.
A court ruling in favor of the plaintiff could result in the entire program starting from scratch.
“It does, to a great extent, put the current tender in limbo. The tender has already been delayed multiple times, including last week,” said Deepak Anand, vice president of Toronto consultancy Cannabis Compliance.
The first application process started in 2017 and was delayed until March 2018, after a plaintiff successfully sued the government over the process.
Up for grabs are 13 contracts, or ” lots,” and a single company can get up to five contracts. Each lot calls for 200 kilograms (440 pounds) to start.
Advantage for importers
Another delay in handing out domestic cultivation licenses would give an advantage to international companies currently supplying the German medical cannabis market, as locally produced MMJ could be pushed to 2020 or beyond.
Companies from Canada and the Netherlands are exporting a record amount of medical cannabis to Germany.
Canadian multinationals that include Tilray, Cronos Group, Aurora Cannabis and Canopy Growth are establishing cultivation centers in places such as Denmark, Portugal and Israel – and much of that production could end up supplying the German market.
Another large Canadian medical cannabis company, Ontario-based Aphria, announced last week its intention to buy Densborn, Germany-based CC Pharma for 24.5 million euros ($28 million) in cash on closing and another 23.5 million euros if certain performance milestones are met.
Aphria aims to obtain its European Union Good Manufacturing Practices (GMP) – an essential European quality standard – joining Aurora, Maricann, Cronos, Tilray and Canopy Growth.
Only EU GMP-certified companies can export medical cannabis products to Germany.

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