Repost:Toronto condo market faces ‘Wile E. Coyote’ moment

Toronto’s real estate market may have had its “Wile E. Coyote moment”—that dawning realization that you’re headed for painful catastrophe and there’s nothing you can do to stop it.

That’s at least how Capital Economics economist David Madani has been interpreting the industry as of late.

With new condo sales dropping to record lows, it’s become clear that the Toronto market is cooling off. Opinions are divided, though, as to whether the latest numbers are signs of an impending housing crash long feared by Canadian finance leaders.

According to a report by RealNet Canada Inc., the number of new condos sold in the Greater Toronto Area in August 2013 sat at 633, an 18% drop year over year from sales of 777 in August 2012. RealNet’s data indicated that it’s the poorest August showing for new condos in a decade. Sales of high rise dwellings have dropped over 30% year over year from an eight-month period between January and August 2013, in comparison to the same time frame in 2012.


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In sum, this is a short term issue, said Alexander.

“I don’t think it signals a major problem in the GTA real estate market or economy. I think it’s something that will be addressed, because over time there is going to be a demand for all of these condo dwellings,” he added.

“That doesn’t preclude the possibility that you get a correction in the short run, [but] even if we were to have a modest correction… I don’t actually think it would threaten the GTA economy let alone the Canadian economy as a whole.”

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Anaysts Bullish On Equifax (NYSE: EFX) Growth in sales from 5% and 8% in fiscal years 2014

If you’re looking for a cyclical stock that will see better performance in an improving economy, look no further than Equifax Inc (NYSE: EFX). The Atlanta-based credit report company helps consumers track their credit scores. It also has a business division that helps corporations track consumer credit issues and a mortgage business that provides lenders with consumer credit information. On Sept. 19, Andre Benjamin, an analyst with Goldman Sachs, initiated coverage on the stock with a buy rating. The company, which has operations around the world, should make money as global consumer spending increases, he says.

Why? Because people will want to check their credit scores before buying big purchases like cars and houses.

 He expects the company’s online consumer products division, which is where personal credit reports fall under and accounts for about 70% of revenues, to grow between 5% and 8% in fiscal years 2014 and 2015. Daniel Perlin, an analyst with RBC Capital Markets, is also bullish on the business. In a July 25 note, he wrote that he believes the company is “well positioned to outperform in a more pro-cyclical consumer environment.”

There is one thing to watch: a slow down in its mortgage business. As the U.S. housing market has picked up, this part of the company’s operations has done well. However, the company has said that growth in its mortgage business will slow in the coming year. If it slows too much, though, the earnings could underperform.

The hope is that growth in other parts of its business will balance out lower mortgage revenues, says Perlin. Its international business should also grow by around 6% every year for the next three fiscal years, says Benjamin. Latin America will provide the most growth, while their European business should grow by about 3% this year. He also expects to see its “Verification Services” division to post between 10% and 15% growth.

This part of the business helps authenticate individuals for businesses worried about fraud. It should see pickup from auto and credit card companies, consumer loan operations and Medicare and Medicade service companies. In terms of valuations, it’s trading at a discount to the group. Investors can buy it for about 10.5 times EV/EBITDA, compared to 12.2 times for its peers.

Part of the reason for the cheaper valuation is “below average recurring revenue and pricing power,” writes Benjamin.

As the economy improves, though, those numbers will move higher. The stock price is currently at $61, but Perlin thinks it can hit $67 over the next 12 months, while Benjamin has a $70 price target on the stock.

Joel Matlin launches $11 million lawsuit against AlarmForce

 

Joel Matlin launches $11 million lawsuit against AlarmForce

Ousted CEO files wrongful dismissal suit asking for punitive and aggravated damages.

 

The recently ousted chief executive of AlarmForce Industries has filed a wrongful dismissal lawsuit against the home-security company he founded 25-years ago.

Joel Matlin, who was at the home security company’s helm since its inception in 1988 and often the voice and face of AlarmForce in ad campaigns, claims he was dismissed without cause or notice, which goes against the terms of his contract.

He’s also asking for punitive and aggravated damages because of the way the firing was handled, claiming it was done in bad faith and in a manner that damaged Matlin’s reputation.

None of the allegations has been proven in court and may be challenged by the company.

The $11 million claim includes $1.3 million for wrongful dismissal, $6,460 in unpaid vacation and $10,000 in damages. He also wants AlarmForce to acknowledge he was wrongfully dismissed.

Matlin, 65, says in a statement of claim that he was terminated ahead of a meeting to present his new vision for the company to the board of directors, and forced to leave the building without being given time to collect his belongings.

The suit also claims several of Matlin’s family members had their jobs at AlarmForce suspended and then terminated because of their relationship with him.

Matlin, who holds a nearly eight per cent stake in the company, continues to appear in the company’s television and radio commercials despite the dismissal.

He has previously said he plans to rally shareholders to put him back in charge, and that the termination stemmed from conflicts with chief financial officer Anthony Pizzonia, who has been named interim president and chief executive.

AlarmForce was not immediately available for comment.

 

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LUC.TO	LUCARA DIAMOND CORP	1.04 1:58PM EDT	0.05(5.05%)	3,890,731	Chart, More
ABX.TO	BARRICK GOLD CORPORATION	19.49 1:58PM EDT	0.35(1.83%)	3,622,326	Chart, Profile, More
AC-B.TO	AIR CANADA, CL.B	3.66 1:57PM EDT	0.14(3.98%)	3,594,511	Chart, Profile, More
RRX.TO	RAGING RIVER EXPLORATION INC	5.50 1:58PM EDT	0.04(0.73%)	3,553,897	Chart, More
RMP.TO	RMP ENERGY INC	5.83 1:58PM EDT	0.05(0.87%)	3,217,043	Chart, More
SGY.TO	SURGE ENERGY INC	5.96 1:58PM EDT	0.03(0.51%)	3,212,914	Chart, More
BB.TO	BLACKBERRY LIMITED	8.34 1:57PM EDT	0.44 (5.01%)	2,604,293	Chart, Profile, More
STP.TO	SOUTHERN PACIFIC RESOURCE CORP	0.62 1:58PM EDT	0.03 (4.62%)	2,552,464	Chart, Profile, More
G.TO	GOLDCORP INC	27.16 1:59PM EDT	0.77(2.92%)	2,193,168	Chart, Profile, More
BTO.TO	B2GOLD CORP.	2.73 1:58PM EDT	0.07(2.63%)	2,136,622	Chart, Profile, More
K.TO	KINROSS GOLD CORP.	5.34 1:58PM EDT	0.21(4.09%)	2,022,876	Chart, More
BBD-B.TO	BOMBARDIER INC., CL. B, SV	4.86 1:57PM EDT	0.01 (0.21%)	1,982,033	Chart, Profile, More
IMG.TO	IAMGOLD CORP	5.19 1:58PM EDT	0.17(3.39%)	1,979,286	Chart, Profile, More
TXG.TO	TOREX GOLD RESOURCES INC	1.51 1:57PM EDT	0.11(7.86%)	1,728,168	Chart, Profile, More
TLM.TO	TALISMAN ENERGY INC.	11.72 1:58PM EDT	0.44(3.95%)	1,720,886	Chart, Profile, More
LUN.TO	LUNDIN MINING CORP.	4.65 1:58PM EDT	0.01(0.22%)	1,636,985	Chart, Profile, More
RIO.TO	RIO ALTO MINING LIMITED	2.11 1:58PM EDT	0.04(1.93%)	1,583,449	Chart, More
SMF.TO	SEMAFO J	2.48 1:57PM EDT	0.09(3.77%)	1,566,316	Chart, Profile, More
YRI.TO	YAMANA GOLD INC	11.10 1:58PM EDT	0.41(3.84%)	1,552,414	Chart, Profile, More
ECA.TO	ENCANA CORP.	17.76 1:58PM EDT	0.07 (0.39%)	1,530,089	Chart, Profile, More
SU.TO	SUNCOR ENERGY INC.	37.22 1:59PM EDT	0.59(1.61%)	1,495,774	Chart, Profile, More
POT.TO	POTASH CORP OF SASK INC	32.56 1:58PM EDT	0.10(0.32%)	1,431,807	Chart, Profile, More
JE.TO	JUST ENERGY GROUP INC	6.72 1:58PM EDT	0.15(2.28%)	1,380,204	Chart, More
NGD.TO	NEW GOLD INC.	6.54 1:58PM EDT	0.18(2.83%)	1,371,490	Chart, Profile, More
BNK.TO	BANKERS PETROLEUM LTD.	3.86 1:58PM EDT	0.02(0.52%)	1,355,867	Chart, Profile, More