Thursday, August 20, 2009

Bankers, but now the easy money has probably been made

BANKERS PETROLEUM
(T-BNK)
$3.77 +0.02
PAINTED PONY PETROLEUM
(V-PPY.A)
$3.69 +0.09

Sometimes you take a trip and it makes a difference and
the one trip we’ve made in the last year or so that has made
a huge difference to us, was our trip to Albania. We had an
incredibly gracious host in Abby Badwi as we went to see
their Patos Marinza project in southern Albania. Along for
the trip was Bryan Slusarchuk, the President of Tirex Re-
sources, the mining company with assets in northern Albania
and Bryan was also a Bankers shareholder.

To see the country once so poor, now catching up and
embracing a new economy was heart-warming. To see no
McDonalds, KFC or anything the west takes for granted was
also a taste of their future to come. To see the amazing
beaches yet to be developed and to see the three quarters of
a million bomb shelters Hoxha had built and wasted the
countries resources on, showed some of their disappointing
past.

But to see first-hand the thousands of old Chinese and
Russian relics of rigs on Bankers property that just went on
and on and on, suggested that Bankers was onto something
that could be big. Very big.
We’ve written about it several times over the last while,
but the story really got going—and we have to credit Kevin
Shaw of Wellington West, when he wrote a 32-page report on
Bankers published on July 9th that made Bay Street realize
that Bankers was more about a reserve play than cash flow
and production.

The stock has more than doubled since Kevin’s report
went out and I think he gained a lot of fans because of the
reports importance and significance. We’ve enjoyed the run
on Bankers, but now the easy money has probably been
made and now it will take real production and cash flow in-
crease with the new technology to justify higher prices.
Given time, we expect that it will happen and sometime,
like Rally Energy, Badwi will sell the company to somebody
really big.

In the meantime, we were wondering what Kevin Shaw’s
next report would be on, while he is currently in Albania
touring Bankers property. His newest report just out fea-
tures Painted Pony. We thought we would be looking for
something splashy and pizzazzy with huge upside, not a
mere 40% return on a stock that was big on natural gas at a
time the world is lousy with gas and it has already been writ-
ten up by people like Keith Schaefer of Oil and Gas Invest-
ments.
Disappointing…? Hoping for something more? Well,
probably, but the point should be made that is there is going
to more consolidation in the Bakken, Painted Pony is one of
the few players left with a huge land holding in that area and
yes, a take over on Painted Pony is rumoured by some.

The Gartman Letter Interesting Read

Dennis Gartman publishes his 10 Rules of Trading.

I thought the best use of your time today would be to share some of his rules with you. In Gartman’s own words…

1. Never, ever, ever add to a losing position: To do so will eventually and absolutely lead to ruin. Remember Long Term Capital Management and its legion of Nobel laureates who broke this rule repeatedly and went into forced liquidation. Learn this lesson well and early!

2. Capital comes in two varieties: Mental capital, and that which is in your account: Of the two, mental capital is the more important. Holding losing positions costs measurable sums of actual capital, but it costs immeasurable sums of mental capital.

3. The objective is not to buy low and sell high, but to buy high and to sell higher: We can never know what price is “low.” Nor can we know what price is “high.” Always remember that Nortel fell from $85/share to $2 and seemed “cheap” all times along the way.

4. “Markets can remain illogical longer than you or I can remain solvent,” is a brilliant statement from our good friend, Dr. A. Gary Shilling. Illogic often reigns and markets are inefficient despite what the academics try to tell us.

5. Sell that which shows the greatest weakness, and buy that which shows the greatest strength: Metaphorically, when bearish, throw rocks into the wettest paper sack, for they break most readily. In bull markets, ride the strongest winds.

6. Think like a fundamentalist; trade like a technician: It is imperative that we understand the fundamentals driving a trade, and that we understand the market’s technicals also. When we do, then, and only then, should we trade.

7. Understanding psychology is usually more important than understanding economics: Markets are driven by human beings making human errors and also making super-human insights.

8. Be patient with winning trades; be enormously impatient with losing trades: Remember, it is quite possible to make large sums trading/investing if we are “right” only 30% of the time, as long as our losses are small and our profits are large.

9. The Hard Trade is the Right Trade: If it is easy to sell, don’t; and if it is easy to buy, don’t. Do the trade that is hard to do and that which the crowd finds objectionable. Peter Steidelmeyer taught us this 25 years ago and it holds truer now than then.

10. There is never one cockroach: Bad news begets bad news, which begets even worse news.

Wednesday, August 19, 2009

Anonymous Accumulation Is Happening- But Read This 1st


Fundamental Data - ENERGY FUELS INC.

Security Type Equity Shares Issued 76,482,602

Year High 0.71
Year Low 0.11

Annual Earnings/Share -0.08 CAD

P/E Ratio -4.19




CASEY ENERGY SPECULATOR - Recent Company News



7-24-2009


Comments:


The amalgamation of Magnum and Energy Fuels (T.EFR) is a great deal for both parties, since it combines the development projects of Energy Fuels with the exploration potential of San Rafael held by Magnum Uranium.


The combined entity also should have enough cash to make an enticing takeover target for a larger company. However, in a weak uranium market, we will be placing our bets on companies that have projects further in development and not such high capital expenses to start with.


When the uranium market begins to pick up again, we may re-recommend Energy Fuels as a buy. For now, we are closing our position on Energy Fuels, as it is turning into a development story, and away from our original reasons for investing in Magnum Uranium.

Canadian Arrow Announces Non-Brokered Private Placement


Canadian Arrow Announces Non-Brokered Private Placement

cnw

SUDBURY, ON, Aug. 19 /CNW/ - Canadian Arrow Mines Limited (CRO: TSX-V) (the "Company") is pleased to announce that subject to regulatory acceptance, the Company is arranging a non-brokered private placement consisting of up to 30,000,000 flow-through shares and up to 20,000,000 units of the Company ("Units") at a price of $0.05 flow-through share and $0.05 per Unit for gross proceeds of up to $2,500,000. Each Unit will consist of one common share of the Company and half of one common share purchase warrant (each whole such warrant, a "Warrant"). Each whole Warrant will entitle the holder thereof to acquire one common share of the Company for a period of 18 months at a price of $0.10 per common share.


The proceeds from the private placement will be used to advance exploration on its Kenbridge nickel project, its other regional projects and to provide the Company with additional working capital.


All securities issued in connection with this financing will be subject to a four-month hold period.


The Company may pay a finders' fee of up to 5% of the gross proceeds in connection with a portion of the financing.


It is anticipated that the financing will close on or about August 28, 2009.

This press release may contain "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Canadian securities legislation and the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this press release and the Company does not intend, and does not assume, any obligation to update these forward-looking statements.