End of the bull? What bull?

Market Looks Like This Pig At The Moment

End of the bull? What bull?

Friday, March 07, 2008


You may have noticed that Market Blog is a big fan of Bespoke Investment Group. It seems that

just about every day, the Bespoke blog can churn out interesting tidbits on the market that can make just about anyone put down his or her cup of coffee and say “Hmm.”


The latest coffee-pausing hit: Unless you managed to invest in the S&P 500 at its lowest point this decade, in 2003, and instead invested at the start of each year, you would be sitting on cumulative gains of less than 20 per cent in all cases – not much given that we were supposed to be in a rip-roaring bull market until recently.


For example, your total gains since 2004 would be an okay-but-hardly-stellar 17 per cent. It gets worse: Total gains since 2005 would be just 8 per cent. Since 2006: a measly 4 per cent.


“Now, we’re all familiar with the long-term historical performance of 6 per cent to 8 per cent annually for equities, but even during the most recent bull market of this decade, that hasn’t happened unless you’re timing was spot on,” Bespoke said on its blog. “Any new market participants over the past few years have really just seen a lot of back and forth action.”

© Copyright The Globe and Mail

Stock Market Today + Top Ten Picks From Trapeze

The Floor Caves In

The close: The floor gave in

RTGAM

Remember that low point in January, the dip that many observers had hoped would mark the bottom of the S&P 500 during the current stock market turbulence?

Well, it's under threat - again.

The index's lowest close of 1310.5 gave way on Thursday, when it closed at 1304.34, down 29.26 points or 2.2 per cent. The declines were widespread, with 97 per cent of the shares ending the day in negative territory, led by Exxon Mobil Corp., General Electric Co., Citigroup Inc. and Microsoft Corp.This does not bode well for stocks if you put a lot of importance in low closes or you're getting nervous about the downward trend.

After all, what had looked like a solid foundation for a rally just six weeks ago now looks like mushy floor at best, instilling fears of further declines.Some analysts pointed out that it is the intraday low that is more important as a technical benchmark. Looked at that way, the low point for the S&P 500 is 1270. Either way, though, the world's most important stock market index is clearly under siege, at least from a psychological point of view, and that can't feel good.Meanwhile, the Dow Jones industrial average closed at 12,040.39, down 214.60 points or 1.8 per cent - which is just shy of its lowest close in January.In Canada, the S&P/TSX composite index closed at 13,360.44, down 242.88 points or 1.8 per cent.

The Big Banks were the biggest drags on the index, thanks to growing fears about additional writedowns and, in at least one case, concerns about the health of dividends.Royal Bank of Canada, Bank of Nova Scotia, Toronto-Dominion Bank and Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce fell between 3.4 per cent and 4.3 per cent. Bank of Montreal (that would be the one with the troubled-looking dividend) tumbled 6.8 per cent.Copyright 2001 The Globe and Mail

Reasons To Buy CRO-X

#1 This is the biggest reason I think you want to be in CRO is the fact that we are valued at about 2% of inground value. Marketcap 25 MILLION, inground value over 1.2 BILLION

#2 The metal market looks to continue to rise. Supply of most metals continues to lag far behind demand. Nickle could easily be over $20 again.

#3 The potential to find more copper and nickle below the open pit. 2.95% Ni, 0.82% Cu, 0.07% Co over 21.5 m including 7.2% Ni, 0.67% Cu, over 5.5 m is very encouraging. More results like this and we'll be seeing a new resource estimate and great potential to underground mine.

#4 The fact that mining equiptment is already purchased and potential for mining in less than three years.

#5 Potential for Nickle, Gold, and Copper from the property adjacent to Opawica Resources new discovery. 0.87% Cu and 4.08 g/t Au over a core length of 46 metres is very encouraging. CRO has started initial exploration programs in the area.

Source