Friday, January 18, 2008

Bush calls for quick, temporary tax relief to spur economy


Bush calls for quick, temporary tax relief to spur economy
  • Story Highlights
  • NEW: Democratic leaders express general support for President Bush's remarks
  • President calls for broad-based tax relief for consumers, businesses
  • Bush says he's encouraged by talks with Congress, hopeful of agreement
  • Bush says his tax cuts due to expire in 2010 should be made permanent

WASHINGTON (CNN) -- President Bush on Friday proposed a temporary, broad-based tax relief package aimed at spurring the nation's slowing economy.

During remarks at the White House, Bush, flanked by economic advisers, said the nation's economy is at risk for a downturn and Congress must act to head off trouble.

"This growth package must be big enough to make a difference in an economy as large and dynamic as ours," Bush said.

"By passing a growth package quickly, we can provide a shot in the arm to keep a fundamentally strong economy healthy, and it will help keep economic sectors that are going through adjustments, such as the housing market, from adversely affecting other parts of our economy."

It should equal about 1 percent of the nation's gross domestic product, or roughly $140 billion, he added. Bush said the economy will continue to grow but at a slower rate.

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-California, expressed agreement with Bush on "the need to provide assistance immediately," saying in a statement that "we must invest our resources in such a way that injects confidence and consumer demand, promotes economic growth and creates jobs."

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nevada, said, "I also agree that our focus must be on finding temporary measures that will do the job effectively."

Sen. Edward Kennedy, D-Massachusetts, agreed that "we must act swiftly to boost the economy" but stressed the need to help families who "are struggling every day to pay their bills, heat their homes and pay their mortgages."

The president offered no specific details of the proposed package, but he did insist that it include tax incentives for business, "including small businesses, to make major investments in their enterprises this year." Bush also said the economic package must include "rapid income tax relief" for consumers to "lift our economy at a time when people otherwise might spend less."

Bush's remarks came a day after talks on the subject with Democratic and Republican lawmakers, and following Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's call for a fiscal stimulus package to help an economy beset by plummeting stock prices and a credit and mortgage crunch.

Bush said Friday he was encouraged by his discussions with lawmakers. "I believe there is enough broad consensus that we can come up with a package that can be approved with bipartisan support."

Existing income tax cuts supported by the Bush administration are due to expire in 2010, and the president called on Congress to make them permanent.

"Unless Congress acts, the American people will face massive tax increases in less than three years," Bush said. "This tax increase would put jobs and economic growth at risk." VideoWatch experts explain how to goose the economy »

Sen. Charles Schumer, D-New York, said he was disappointed that Bush did not include stimulus-spending measures aimed at helping the disadvantaged such as extending unemployment benefits. Schumer said such spending initiatives would jump-start the economy faster than tax cuts alone.

"I think if we avoid any of the ideological fights, we could actually pass something so that it would take effect on March 1," Schumer said.

The proposed stimulus package comes as a leading gauge of future economic activity was released Friday by the Conference Board. The December report showed a decline for a third straight month for the U.S. leading index -- down two-tenths of a percent. The report cited housing permits for the largest negative contribution to the index. See chart showing Americans' recession fears »

On Thursday, the Dow Jones industrial average of stock prices dropped more than 300 points after reports of slowing growth and massive debt write-offs by Merrill Lynch. The brokerage giant reported a nearly $10 billion loss for the fourth quarter of 2007 and wrote off more than $11 billion in bad mortgage debts.

Former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers stressed the importance of whom any relief package would target. "It needs to go to people who are going to spend it," Summers said Friday on CNN's "American Morning." "That means particularly those who rely on tax refunds -- those receiving benefits, those whose incomes have been hurt by the downturn."

Bernanke told the House Budget Committee on Thursday that he does not believe the economy will enter a recession, but he said he expects growth to proceed at a slow pace this year and possibly into early 2009. He said Congress needs to take decisive action to boost the economy.

"To be useful, a fiscal stimulus package should be implemented quickly and structured so that its effects on aggregate spending are felt as much as possible within the next 12 months or so," Bernanke said. But he said any package should be "explicitly temporary" to avoid running up the government's long-term debt.

Bernanke stopped short of suggesting that the Bush tax cuts should be made permanent, telling lawmakers he supports "the law of arithmetic."

"What comes in at least has to equal what goes out at some point," he said.

CNN's Kathleen Koch and Deirdre Walsh contributed to this report.

Thursday, January 17, 2008

TSX 3-day losses top 900

TSX 3-day losses top 900

RTGAM

Another day, another rout.

The spectacular selloff on North American stock markets continued Thursday, with Canada's benchmark index now suffering three-day losses of more than 900 points.

The S&P/TSX composite index, which has been hit hard on the notion that a U.S. economic recession will curb demand for Canada's commodities, dropped 279.64 points or 2.14 per cent to 12,795.64. Materials, mining, metals and energy stocks had the sharpest declines, although no sector was immune.

The index officially entered correction mode on Wednesday, having lost around 12 per cent since its Oct. 31st high. It has dropped about 903 points in the last three sessions alone.

Growing pessimism about the prospects for the U.S. economy did most of the damage again, as investors reacted to a U.S. regional report that showed manufacturing activity slowed and comments from Fed head Ben Bernanke, warning that the risks of a U.S. downturn are mounting.

The Dow Jones industrial average tumbled to a 10-month low of 12,159.21, shedding 306.95 points or 2.46 per cent. The S&P 500 composite was off 39.95 points or 2.91 per cent while Nasdaq composite fell 47.69 points or 1.99 per cent.
According to Bloomberg, the U.S. indexes are nearing so-called bear markets levels - declines of at least 20 per cent from highs.

The selling picked up after the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia reported its index of manufacturing activity in the region contracted sharply in January, falling to its lowest reading since October, 2001.

"This is bad," Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist for High Frequency Economics, said of the report. "This is very alarming, because we had pinned our hopes on the relative strength of the corporate sector offsetting some of the housing hit."

Mr. Bernanke added to the gloom by telling Congress that the risks of a recession are increasingly pronounced and that the housing sector will act as a drag for most of 2008. Earlier in the day, a U.S. report showed construction of new homes in December fell to its slowest pace in 16 years.

Economists at Goldman Sachs said Thursday that Mr. Bernanke's comments, along with the extremely weak Fed manufacturing and other economic data, suggest the U.S. central bank will cut rates by 50 basis points at its next meeting.
Credit concerns also dogged Wall Street Thursday after rating agency Moody's Investors Service placed bond insurer Ambac Assurance Corp. on review for a possible downgrade.
With files from wires.




Copyright 2001 The Globe and Mail

Peter Grandich On The Markets 2007+2008

Quick Note –

I have a special fondness for Canada (except the Vancouver Canucks, who are once again leading their poor suffering fans to yet another big disappointment come playoff time) and while I believe it’s in much better shape than its neighbors to the south, I don’t think it can escape being impacted by what’s unfolding here. Like it or not, Americans buy more than three-quarters of everything Canada exports, which accounts for nearly a quarter of Canada’s GDP. Yes, it may no longer be true when America sneezes Canada catches cold, but it appears prudent for Canadians to at least put on a sweater and gloves.

CAUTION

The Sub-prime mess and an economy heading toward or already in recession is most likely going to create some headlines like this in the not-too-distant future: “Troubles in the Corporate Debt Market.” Up until this fall, defaults on corporate bonds were at their lowest levels in more than 25 years. But, with an absolute binge of borrowing in this millennium and an economy heading for the dumps, I anticipate heightened concerns going forward in the so-called “high yield” (who buys low-yield bonds, anyway-lol) market. Citigroup’s (yes, they are in trouble themselves) credit research team has issued a warning worthy of heed:

Summary –

The public-at-large, especially those poor souls who watch “TOUT-TV” (CNBC-TV), have no real idea how enormous this crisis is. First and foremost, the debt markets are ten times larger than the stock market yet most investors misunderstand it or watch it - UNTIL NOW!!! Economic life begins and ends with the debt market as financings for governments, companies and pension funds with credit instruments are done there on the belief loans will be repaid on a contracted schedule with interest.

Here’s why I believe history will end up not being kind to former Fed Chairman Greenspan: banks and pensions profited when there was a wide difference between short and long term interest rates. They took in on the short side and loaned/invested out on the long side. But thanks to Greenspan’s allowing rates to fall incredibly low and seeing the yield curve all but disappear, banks and pensions ended up willing patsies for the plethora of exotic instruments Wall Street created at the expense of borrowers who could least afford the risk. Now the time has come to pay the piper in the debt market, and for America to pay for years of living way beyond their means.

This Screen Shot Says It All + Metals Report Today