Tuesday, June 22, 2010

TSX and TSX-V and Nasdaq Leaders

VOLUME LEADERS
Symbol Name Last Trade Change Volume Related Info
BBD-B.TO BOMBARDIER INC., CL. B, SV 5.11 1:29PM EST Down 0.04 (0.78%) 5,171,519 Reports, More
LUN.TO LUNDIN MINING CORP. 3.71 1:26PM EST Down 0.07 (1.85%) 4,088,307 Reports, More
UUU.TO URANIUM ONE INC. 2.44 1:29PM EST Up 0.09 (3.83%) 3,906,031 Reports, More
HNU.TO HORIZONS BETA PRO NYMEX NAT GAS 6.59 1:29PM EST Down 0.44 (6.26%) 3,854,327 More
XIU.TO iSHARES SP TSX 60 INDEX FUND 17.66 1:27PM EST Down 0.04 (0.23%) 3,581,261 More
HND.TO HORIZONS BETAPRO NYMEX NAT GAS 6.02 1:29PM EST Up 0.36 (6.36%) 2,832,822 Reports, More
QUX.TO QUADRA FNX MINING LTD. 10.60 1:29PM EST Down 0.72 (6.36%) 2,540,523 More
SU.TO SUNCOR ENERGY INC. 34.01 1:29PM EST Down 0.53 (1.53%) 2,525,554 Reports, More
YRI.TO YAMANA GOLD INC 10.83 1:29PM EST Down 0.03 (0.28%) 2,488,974 Reports, More
HOU.TO HORIZON BETAPRO NYMEX CRDE OIL 6.85 1:28PM EST Up 0.03 (0.44%) 2,210,488 More
TCK-B.TO Teck Resources Limited 36.53 1:29PM EST Down 0.14 (0.38%) 2,145,839 Reports, More
BNK.TO BANKERS PETROLEUM LTD. 8.09 1:28PM EST Down 0.20 (2.41%) 2,133,647 Reports, More
TLM.TO TALISMAN ENERGY INC. 17.50 1:29PM EST Down 0.19 (1.07%) 2,071,591 Reports, More
BVF.TO BIOVAIL CORP 18.97 1:29PM EST Up 1.95 (11.46%) 1,881,466 Reports, More
EQN.TO EQUINOX MINERALS LIMITED 4.01 1:27PM EST Up 0.01 (0.25%) 1,766,919 Reports, More
ABX.TO BARRICK GOLD CORPORATION 46.22 1:29PM EST Up 0.36 (0.78%) 1,702,622 Reports, More
WTN.TO WESTERN COAL CORP 4.79 1:29PM EST Down 0.09 (1.84%) 1,584,438 Reports, More
LQW.TO LIQUIDATION WORLD 0.80 1:27PM EST Up 0.04 (5.26%) 1,514,400 Reports, More
ECU.TO ECU SILVER MINING INC. 0.65 12:30PM EST Up 0.01 (1.56%) 1,511,850 Reports, More
ECA.TO ENCANA CORP. 34.59 1:29PM EST Down 0.65 (1.84%) 1,509,567 Reports, More
CLM.TO CONS. THOMPSON IRON MINES LTD. 7.69 1:29PM EST Down 0.15 (1.91%) 1,433,068 Reports, More
ELD.TO ELDORADO GOLD 18.45 1:29PM EST Up 0.23 (1.26%) 1,432,305 Reports, More
NGD.TO NEW GOLD INC. 6.68 1:29PM EST Up 0.06 (0.91%) 1,389,190 Reports, More
MFC.TO MANULIFE FIN 16.79 1:29PM EST Down 0.02 (0.12%) 1,376,866 Reports, More
CVE.TO CENOVUS ENERGY INC. 29.43 1:29PM EST Down 0.47 (1.57%) 1,222,615 More

VOLUME LEADERS
Symbol Name Last Trade Change Volume Related Info
WRG.V WESTERN ENERGY SERVICES CORP. 0.215 1:13PM EST 0.00 (0.00%) 4,015,000 Reports, More
GNH.V GOLDEN HOPE MINES LTD 0.65 1:29PM EST Up 0.07 (12.07%) 2,789,828 Reports, More
PMI.V PETROMANAS ENERGY INC. 0.335 1:23PM EST Down 0.03 (8.22%) 2,372,272 More
CC.V CASCADE RESOURCES LTD. 0.09 1:23PM EST Down 0.02 (18.18%) 1,954,000 Reports, More
MRS.V MEDORO RESOURCES LTD. 0.73 1:17PM EST Down 0.05 (6.41%) 1,556,319 Reports, More
KWG.V KWG RESOURCES INC. 0.125 12:43PM EST 0.00 (0.00%) 1,551,125 Reports, More
SEL.V SPITFIRE ENERGY LTD. 0.59 1:23PM EST Up 0.04 (7.27%) 1,442,833 Reports, More
SPQ.V Spider Resources Inc. 0.16 12:52PM EST Down 0.005 (3.03%) 1,421,971 Reports, More
WMR.V WESTMINSTER RESOURCES LTD. 0.24 1:14PM EST Up 0.04 (20.00%) 1,051,500 Reports, More
SLV.V Stealth Ventures Ltd. 0.105 12:55PM EST Down 0.005 (4.55%) 1,048,000 Reports, More
CAN.V CANACO RES INC. 0.93 1:28PM EST Down 0.03 (3.13%) 1,042,000 Reports, More
BUK.V BRIDGE RESOURCES CORP. 0.44 1:19PM EST Up 0.01 (2.33%) 1,031,500 Reports, More
FAU.V FIRE RIVER GOLD CORP. 0.61 1:29PM EST Up 0.05 (8.93%) 1,007,900 More
SRI.V SPARTON RESOURCES INC 0.13 1:30PM EST 0.00 (0.00%) 880,030 Reports, More
TK.V TINKA RESOURCES LTD 0.14 12:20PM EST Up 0.005 (3.70%) 834,000 Reports, More
ALE.V ALANGE ENERGY CORP. 0.37 1:30PM EST Down 0.01 (2.63%) 752,081 Reports, More
IB.V IBC ADVANCED ALLOYS CORP. 0.145 1:30PM EST Up 0.015 (11.54%) 673,500 Reports, More
GBB.V GOLD BULLION DEVELOPMENT CORP. 0.60 1:28PM EST Up 0.03 (5.26%) 643,460 More
MVN.V MADALENA VENTURES INC. 0.32 1:08PM EST Up 0.015 (4.92%) 636,200 Reports, More
MMT.V Mart Resources Inc 0.215 1:22PM EST Down 0.005 (2.27%) 634,400 Reports, More
CXT.V CRESO EXPLORATION INC. 0.33 1:30PM EST Down 0.03 (8.33%) 583,050 Reports, More
SXL.V Slam Exploration Ltd. 0.105 1:09PM EST 0.00 (0.00%) 582,600 Reports, More
AUN.V Aurcana Corporation 0.30 12:13PM EST Down 0.005 (1.64%) 536,200 Reports, More
NAG.V NORTH AMERICAN GEM INC. 0.15 12:59PM EST Up 0.01 (7.14%) 500,350 Reports, More
PW.V PANWESTERN ENERGY INC. 0.40 1:28PM EST Down 0.015 (3.61%) 487,400 Reports, More

NASDAQ VOLUME LEADERS
Symbol Name Last Trade Change Volume Related Info
QQQQ PowerShares Exchange-Traded Fun 46.8321 1:31PM EST Up 0.2321 (0.50%) 50,824,597 Profile, Reports, More
MSFT Microsoft Corporation 26.20 1:31PM EST Up 0.25 (0.96%) 27,201,392 Profile, Reports, More
INTC Intel Corporation 21.08 1:31PM EST Down 0.11 (0.52%) 23,559,123 Profile, Reports, More
SIRI Sirius XM Radio Inc. 1.07 1:31PM EST Down 0.01 (0.93%) 19,945,329 Profile, Reports, More
CSCO Cisco Systems, Inc. 23.34 1:31PM EST 0.00 (0.00%) 18,112,599 Profile, Reports, More
AAPL Apple Inc. 275.3501 1:31PM EST Up 5.1801 (1.92%) 15,749,549 Profile, Reports, More
MU Micron Technology, Inc. 9.78 1:31PM EST Down 0.14 (1.41%) 15,239,279 Profile, Reports, More
YHOO Yahoo! Inc. 15.36 1:31PM EST Up 0.15 (0.99%) 13,299,008 Profile, Reports, More
CMCSA Comcast Corporation 18.50 1:31PM EST Up 0.15 (0.82%) 12,875,129 Profile, Reports, More
NWSA News Corporation 13.65 1:31PM EST Down 0.16 (1.16%) 12,299,410 Profile, Reports, More
DELL Dell Inc. 13.975 1:31PM EST Up 0.025 (0.18%) 11,073,228 Profile, Reports, More
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation 11.86 1:31PM EST Down 0.15 (1.25%) 10,089,346 Profile, Reports, More
MRVL Marvell Technology Group, Ltd. 18.675 1:31PM EST Up 0.145 (0.78%) 9,890,078 Profile, Reports, More
DNDN Dendreon Corporation 34.504 1:31PM EST Down 2.326 (6.32%) 9,485,074 Profile, Reports, More
QCOM QUALCOMM Incorporated 36.10 1:31PM EST Up 0.46 (1.29%) 9,392,715 Profile, Reports, More
SNWL SonicWALL, Inc. 11.875 1:30PM EST Up 0.525 (4.63%) 9,045,950 Profile, Reports, More
ORCL Oracle Corporation 23.19 1:31PM EST Up 0.10 (0.43%) 8,936,892 Profile, Reports, More
RIMM Research In Motion Limited 58.97 1:31PM EST Up 0.13 (0.22%) 8,659,819 Reports, More
BIDU Baidu, Inc. 76.76 1:31PM EST Up 0.40 (0.52%) 8,617,878 Profile, Reports, More
DTV DIRECTV 36.83 1:31PM EST Down 0.56 (1.50%) 8,281,795 Profile, Reports, More
LVLT Level 3 Communications, Inc. 1.18 1:30PM EST Up 0.01 (0.85%) 7,391,259 Profile, Reports, More
HBAN Huntington Bancshares Incorpora 6.06 1:31PM EST Up 0.01 (0.17%) 7,223,824 Profile, Reports, More
AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. 13.27 1:31PM EST Up 0.01 (0.08%) 6,720,782 Profile, Reports, More
FLEX Flextronics International Ltd. 6.45 1:31PM EST Down 0.16 (2.42%) 6,422,727 Profile, Reports, More
ATVI Activision Blizzard, Inc 11.2901 1:31PM EST Down 0.2499 (2.17%) 6,415,289 Profile, Reports, More


Saturday, June 19, 2010

Carrigan Says Beware Of BP Downside


Back in late May I got a call from a local portfolio manager, Bob, asking for a technical opinion on BP PLC whose share price had torpedoed in reaction to the company’s Deepwater Horizon Gulf oil spill. “Take a look, Bil,l because at $41 the shares are cheap when you take into account the earnings multiple, the yield and the book value.”

Bob’s analysis was typical fundamental stuff that reason a falling stock is a better buy than a rising stock because a falling stock is “cheaper” than a rising stock which is getting “expensive.”

I advised against the purchase because the stock was falling faster relative to its industry peers Chevron Corp. and Exxon Mobil Corp. I told Bob the market is clearly worried about the Gulf oil spill and that in many cases stocks will fall ahead of changes in the fundamentals which can lag the current reality.

Today with BP trading in the $31 dollar I still have no interest in the stock because the Gulf oil spill is a crisis that may take generations to repair. Followers of this column know I have always had a “crisis what crisis?” attitude because I have never experienced a crisis that had a profound effect on our way of life.

There was no lasting impact on the capital markets related to the financial panic 1987, the 1990 invasion of Kuwait, the Asian stock market crisis of 1997, the terrorist attacks of 2001 and the Lehman Bros. bankruptcy of 2008. One could argue the Arab Oil Embargo of 1973 did contribute to the dismantling of the North American auto industry.

There has also been several sovereign defaults over the past 25 years, namely the 1982 Mexico and Latin America debt crisis, the 1997 Asian financial crisis, the 1998 Russian financial crisis and the 2002 Argentine default, all of which turned out to be speed bumps for the global equity markets.

In each crisis - no matter how horrific, the problem was solved by printing money. In each crisis - no matter how horrific – there was a beneficiary out there somewhere. One could argue gold was the recent crisis beneficiary, having posted an 11-year advance of almost 400 per cent and counting.

Now I have to concede the current Gulf of Mexico crisis as taken the term horrific to a new level. The very thought of a modern economy such as the United States wiping almost 20 per cent of their coastline is a staggering reality. The root of the problem is we see no end I sight. This is a crisis that could take a generation or more to resolve. This is a crisis that could take down the Obama presidency. This is a crisis that could alter weather patterns and disrupt energy and food production.

Now with all that in mind, what are we to do as investors?

Let us not even think of acquiring the shares of BP at these depressed levels because their entire enterprise could be at risk and as a shareholder and part owner, you become part of the problem.

As investors we have to protect ourselves and seek out the beneficiaries of this crisis and avoid the sectors involved with Gulf tourism and off-shore drilling.

Our chart this week is the daily closes of the NYSE Arca Natural Gas index plotted above the daily closes of BP. The share price of BP peaked on April 20, 2010 and began to slide in response to the initial news of their Deepwater Horizon fire and Gulf oil spill. The price declined into early May at the $40 level and then collapsed in late May on news that “Top Kill” failed to stop the oil spill.

Our upper plot of the AMEX Natural Gas Index reversed and turned upward in late May possibly in reaction to the bad news out of the Gulf relating to the series of failures to stop the crude that’s fouling marshland and beaches. Is the natural gas complex reacting to the possibility of restricted supply due to the Gulf oil spill?

Some experts claim that a blacker oily Gulf could alter the weather patterns in the U.S. which could affect U.S. food production. One has to wonder if we will see higher prices in the AGRA space due to the Gulf oil spill.

Fortunately there are two TSX listed Exchange Traded Funds that allow us to participate in the natural gas and AGRA space. I called Bob and whispered the symbols COW and ZJN and got a lot of dead air. Call your advisor and see if you get a better response.

Bill Carrigan, CIM is an independent stock-market analyst.

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