Price Of Oil :Same old obsession

Same old obsession

Tuesday, May 06, 2008
Scratch out the old record for crude oil and replace it with this one: $122.36 (U.S.) a barrel. Yes, oil has returned with a vengeance from its recent slump, rising nearly 9 per cent in the past four trading days, and $2.39 a barrel on Tuesday alone.

You can blame it on perceived supply disruptions in Nigeria or the weaker U.S. dollar or the fact that Goldman Sachs has predicted oil prices could jump to a high of $200 a barrel within the next six to 24 months – but either way, oil is back on the minds of investors.

That, of course, is good news for a big chunk of the S[amp]amp;P/TSX composite index. It rose 77 points, or 0.5 per cent, to 14,351 at midday on Tuesday, led by commodity producers. Energy stocks were up 2.2 per cent and materials stocks were up 1.7 per cent. In particular, Canadian Oil Sands Trust shot up 5.2 per cent.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 23 points, or 0.2 per cent, to 12,947, weighed down in part by concerns over the impact runaway energy costs are going to have on the already-fragile U.S. consumer. Home Depot Inc. fell 1.7 per cent and Wal-Mart Stores Inc. fell 1.4 per cent.

The broader S[amp]amp;P 500 fell 2 points, to 1405. Curiously, two bad-news stocks were among the biggest winners. Yahoo Inc. jumped 6.6 per cent a day after takeover talks with Microsoft Corp. fell through, sending its stock hurtling downward. Is there still hope for a deal?

As well, Fannie Mae shrugged off earlier losses after it reported dismal results in the first quarter and announced plans to raise capital. Its stock rose 5.1 per cent.

© Copyright The Globe and Mail

Oil hits record $121 on supply woes

TheStar.com - Business - Oil hits record $121 on supply woes

CP PHOTO
A pumpjack sits surrounded by canola flowers near Carstairs, Alta., in this July 2004 file photo.
May 06, 2008 GILLIAN WONGThe Associated Press
SINGAPORE–Oil futures rose to an all-time high near $121 a barrel Tuesday in Asia, fueled by worries about threats to supply and a weakening of the U.S. dollar.
The surge in oil prices was also fueled by hopes that the U.S. economy will be spared a sharp downturn after the release of data Monday showing an unexpected expansion in the U.S. service sector in April, analysts said.

Light, sweet crude for June delivery rose to a record $120.93 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange on Tuesday. The contract later retreated to $120.24 a barrel, up 27 cents from Monday's close.

Crude futures settled on Monday at $119.97 a barrel, up $3.65 from Friday's close.
"The bulls are in control of the market," said Victor Shum, an energy analyst with Purvin & Gertz in Singapore. "The economic report out of the U.S. yesterday on the service sector seems to suggest the economic slowdown may not be as deep as initially thought.''

"The sentiment is that the oil pricing is likely going to stay quite strong, with a lot of volatility," Shum said.

The dollar weakened against the euro on Monday, attracting investors to oil and other commodities viewed as hedges against inflation. Also, a falling dollar makes oil less expensive to investors overseas. A series of U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts starting last year weakened the dollar considerably against foreign currencies, and analysts blame the dollar's protracted decline for oil's sharp rise this spring.

Supply outages or potential threats to supply emerged in Iran and Nigeria over the weekend and from Iraq on Monday; events in all three nations have caused prices to spike many times in recent months.

In Iraq, Kurdish rebels warned they could launch suicide attacks against American interests to punish the U.S. for sharing intelligence with Turkey after Turkey bombed rebel bases in Iraq on Friday. In Nigeria, a Royal Dutch Shell PLC spokesman said attackers hit an oil facility belonging to Shell's joint venture in southern Nigeria and that some oil production has been shut down.

And Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said his country will not bend to international pressure and give up its nuclear program.

Energy investors grow concerned any time conflict breaks out or is threatened in the oil-rich Middle East. Years of unrest in Nigeria have cut off nearly a quarter of the major U.S. supplier's oil output.

Amid the occasional threats to crude supplies, global demand for oil continues to grow. While demand for oil and gasoline has been soft in the U.S., the Chinese and Indian economies are growing by double digits, boosting global demand for oil.

In other Nymex trading, heating oil futures rose 0.75 cent to $3.314 a gallon (3.8 liters) while gasoline prices added 1.21 cents to $3.065 a gallon. Natural gas futures gained 0.8 cent to $11.186 per 1,000 cubic feet.

Brent crude futures rose 72 cents to $118.71 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange in London.