Are U.S. rate cuts near an end?
RTGAM
Here's Allan Robinson's At The Bell which you'll find in tomorrow's newspaper:
The U.S. economy is just crawling along, but investors are betting that the U.S. Federal Reserve Board is almost finished its work, at least so far as lowering short-term interest rates go.The consensus opinion is that the Fed will lower the federal funds rate by one-quarter of a percentage point today to 2 per cent, but what investors will be looking for are hints."Growth appears to have ground to a halt with consumers tapped out, businesses on a recession-watch, and home builders still hacking away at output to pare bloated inventories," said Sal Guatieri, a senior economist with BMO Nesbitt Burns Inc.Nevertheless, it looks like the Fed may signal a pause in its rate-cutting strategy, Mr. Guatieri said.
"There's a sense if you keep cutting rates you get less and less of a bang for the buck," he said. The Fed has reduced the cost of borrowing and helped to deal with the availability of credit, he said. The federal funds rate has been lowered three percentage points since September.WHAT TO KEEP AN EYE ONThere is a lot of stimulus that has been injected into the system and concern is growing about the impact of the weak U.S. dollar on inflation, Mr. Guatieri said.
The first-quarter gross domestic product data, which is also scheduled for release today, is forecast to have increased at an annual rate of 0.5 per cent, compared with 0.6 per cent during the fourth quarter, according to a survey of economists by Bloomberg.Rising price pressures are also expected to be evident today with the GDP price index increasing to an annual rate of 3 per cent during the first quarter, up from 2.4 per cent during the fourth quarter of 2007 and only 1 per cent in the third quarter.HOW WILL THE MARKET REACT?All in all, that leaves investors in the somewhat precarious position of waiting for the economic turnaround.And indications that the Fed might be ending its rate-cutting strategy have already led to a stronger U.S. dollar.
The problem facing investors is that energy and materials, which account for about 50 per cent of the S+P/TSX, would be exposed to weaker commodity prices resulting from the stronger dollar. "A change in equilibrium of resource prices will have a large effect on the [index] performance," wrote Clement Gignac and Pierre Lapointe, strategists with National Bank Financial Inc.Copyright 2001 The Globe and Mail
Wednesday, April 30, 2008
Are U.S. rate cuts near an End?
Monday, April 28, 2008
PDP News
Petrolifera to participate in COPIC Producers Spring Conference; Posts new slide presentation on websitecnw
CALGARY, April 28 /CNW/ - Petrolifera Petroleum Limited (PDP - TSX) announced today that it is a participant at the 2008 COPIC Producers Spring Conference in Toronto, Ontario on April 29 and 30, 2008 and in Montreal on May 1, 2008. Presenting to the conference at
approximately 12:30 PM MST on Tuesday, April 29, 2008 and 9:30 AM on Thursday, May 1, 2008 will be Mr. Richard Gusella, Executive Chairman, Mr. Gary Wine, President and Chief
Operating Officer, and Mr. Kristen Bibby, Vice President Finance and Chief Financial Officer.To access the webcast of the presentation please go to the link provided below.http://www.newswire.ca/en/webcast/viewEvent.cgi?eventID=2233660