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Friday, October 19, 2018

Anonymous Holding Down Aphria Ahead Of Diageo Deal

Speculation : 


  1. Diageo wants to see the sales 2nd Q of Aphria (after legal pot day October 17)
  2. Diageo deal could be made BEFORE NYSE trades by October 31
  3. Diageo deal could be announced AFTER Nov 2 general meeting

So what could a deal look like for investors?

Typically deals are made on an the average daily closing price over a period 15-30 days
then of course the public tends to drive the price MUCH higher based on a speculation of a 2nd bidder.


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October 201830%50%75%
DateCloseCloseClose
2018-10-01$17.76$17.76$17.76
2018-10-02$16.02$16.02$16.02
2018-10-03$16.95$16.95$16.95
2018-10-04$16.41$16.41$16.41
2018-10-05$16.31$16.31$16.31
2018-10-09$17.42$17.42$17.42
2018-10-10$20.06$20.06$20.06
2018-10-11$19.70$19.70$19.70
2018-10-12$19.08$19.08$19.08
2018-10-15$19.90$19.90$19.90
2018-10-16$18.69$18.69$18.69
2018-10-17$19.40$19.40$19.40
2018-10-18$19.45$19.45$19.45
Average October$18.24$18.24$18.24
Diageo Premium$5.47$9.12$13.68
Buyer Share Cost$23.72$27.36$31.92
Shares Issued248,279,078248,279,078248,279,078
Deal Value$5,887,938,334.77$6,793,775,001.66$7,926,070,835.27