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Saturday, January 30, 2010

Investors ignore solid growth data


Economic report cards from both Canada and the United States came in better than expected yesterday, but investors were having none of it, driving down stock markets on both sides of the border.

The S&P/TSX composite index was down 179.9 points, or 1.6%, to 11,094.31.

The big three sectors of financials, energy and materials were all negative. For January, the TSX was down 5.6%, its biggest monthly loss since last February.

Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Inc. dropped 4.8% yesterday as investors continued to punish the stock after the 69% drop in fourth-quarter profit reported Thursday.

Niko Resources Ltd. fell 3.4%, while First Quantum Minerals Ltd. was down 3.1%.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, gold was down US$1 to US$1,083.80 an ounce, while oil fell US75¢ to US$72.89. The Canadian dollar was down 27 basis points to US93.52¢.

The TSX Venture composite index was down for an eighth straight day, falling 9.64 points, or 0.6%, to 1492.15.

Economic growth in Canada was 0.4% in November, Statistics Canada said yesterday, the third consecutive monthly increase.

Economists had expected a gain of between 0.1% and 0.3%.

The U.S. Commerce Department reported the economy grew at 5.7% in the fourth quarter, surpassing expectations for a 4.6% growth rate.

USA and Canada Have 3 Bad Days On Markets

Economic report cards from both Canada and the United States came in better than expected Friday, but investors were having none of it, driving down stock markets on both sides of the border.

The Toronto Stock Exchange's S&P/TSX composite index was down 166 points, or 1.5%, to 11,108 at the close. The big three sectors of financials, energy and materials were all negative.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, gold was down $1 to US$1,083.80 an ounce, while oil fell 75 cents to US$72.89 a barrel.

The Canadian dollar was down 26 basis points to 93.53 cents US late in the afternoon.

Economic growth in Canada was 0.4% in November, Statistics Canada said Friday, the third consecutive monthly increase. Economists had expected a gain of between 0.1% and 0.3%.

The U.S. Commerce Department reported the American economy grew at an annualized 5.7 % in the fourth quarter, surpassing expectations for 4.6 %.

Still, U.S. markets gave up their earlier-day momentum and finished down Friday. The Dow Jones industrial average was off by 57 points, or 0.6%, to 10,064 as trading stopped. The Nasdaq composite index was down 32 points, or 1.5%, to 2,147.

Markets were mostly up in Europe but down in Asia.

With files from John Morrissy

Yamana sees production from Ernesto project in late 2012

Yamana sees production from Ernesto project in late 2012
10:40 EST Tuesday, January 26, 2010

* Construction of Ernesto project to begin in mid-2010
* Sees annual production of about 1.5 mln ounces by 2013
Jan 26 (Reuters) - Canadian gold producer Yamana Gold Inc said the construction of its Ernesto/Pau-a-pique project in Brazil is expected to begin in mid-2010, with production commencing in late 2012.
Yamana said the Ernesto/Pau-a-pique project has an initial mine life of about seven years with current mineral reserves of 710,000 ounces of gold.
The company expects its Agua Rica project in Argentina to produce about 12.5 million tonnes of copper/gold concentrate and 357,750 tonnes of molybdenum concentrate over a 26.5 year mine life.
Yamana, which has four development stage projects including two in Brazil and one each in Mexico and Chile, said these four projects are expected to contribute 410,000 gold equivalent ounces (GEO) annually, with production expected to be about 1.3 million GEO in 2012.
With these new mines, Yamana expects an annualized production rate of about 1.5 million GEO by the beginning of 2013.
Yamana Gold shares were up 16 Canadian cents at C$11.31 Tuesday morning on the Toronto Stock Exchange. (Reporting by R. Manikandan in Bangalore; Editing by Ratul Ray Chaudhuri)

©2010 CTVglobemedia Publishing Inc. All rights reserved.

Tuesday, January 26, 2010

Pescod Talks Stock

S&P/TSX COMPOSITE INDEX:
AMAZON MINING
I suspect there were more than a few people who went to
bed last night and didn’t sleep much as they had looked at
the futures markets and what it suggested was going to hap-
pen for tomorrow on the American markets. It already
looked ugly because of what was happening to the Asian
markets, but with the recent seven to 10 day correction, it’s
been ugly and brought back to many people memories of a
year ago.
It was nice to see a pleasant surprise this morning as
consumer confidence numbers in the United States, virtually
changed the screen from red to green, but after a six month
run in the markets, one wonders how much of a correction
we might be going through, when it will end or if it’s just
another step up. Certainly in the oil sector you can worry
about the big inventories and in the gold sector you can
worry about the huge amount of paper that has been printed
by the brokers. Suddenly there is a lot of dilution on every
gold stock out there and we are going into a time of year
when precious metal stories traditionally don’t do their best.
Still news out today like every other day shows that
things are going up with consumer confidence better in the
United States and it looks like Britain is now out of its reces-
sion (finally), but a sense of reality is the thousands of peo-
ple that lose their jobs today in Verizon. Sign of the times.
So what stories do we find of interest in the market at a
time like this? We ask so many people the question, what
are your three favourite stories and so many analysts, bro-
kers, etc specialize in different spheres you get a long list of
alternatives.
One of the most intriguing stories we find is still Amazon
Mining. Having been to Brazil, seeing first-hand how strong
that economy is and I suspect it’s going to get a lot stronger
down the road, and seeing first-hand the Brazilian sense of
getting things done. The Brazilians didn’t like that they had
to import so much oil so they made a go out of ethanol dec-
ades before it had been heard of in North America.
We suspect down the road, Amazon and their potential
thermal potash play might seal the same fate and sometime
this summer when they get to work on their Madeira Gold
project, we suspect it also, is going to attract a lot of atten-
tion.
We hope Kaiser is right, but at a time like this, would one
add to ones’ position? Well, at a time like this, one is always
nervous, but we have to mention that we have an interview
with “You-Know-Who” coming up shortly and you haven’t
heard his name here since Ultra Petroleum (NY-UPL) many
years ago.


Remember when Ultra was barely alive, having to lay off 3/4 of its staff, brining in new management just to survive?
And then the $1.00 stock became a triple, a five-bagger and a ten-bagger and how excited we were? Who would have ever thought that it would become ultimately a 130-bagger!
Hopefully “You-Know-Who’s” next high risk/high reward play has just a fraction of that intrigue. Interview coming
shortly.

Yamana Accumulation at $11.40 target is $15.00

Here are all the house positions for : YRI for 1/26/2010.

41 Records Returned

House Positions
ExchHouseBought$ValueAveSold$ValueAveNet$Net
18 Genuity 136,300 1,544,771 11.33 0 136,300 -1,544,771
39 Merrill Lynch 92,918 1,048,303 11.28 4,800 54,690 11.39 88,118 -993,613
12 Wellington 68,100 780,155 11.46 0 68,100 -780,155
1 Anonymous 480,700 5,468,671 11.38 444,200 5,039,133 11.34 36,500 -429,538
13 Instinet 147,800 1,678,616 11.36 124,700 1,416,510 11.36 23,100 -262,106
80 National Bank 307,850 3,493,668 11.35 288,500 3,276,115 11.36 19,350 -217,553
89 Raymond James 75,600 858,455 11.36 64,400 731,236 11.35 11,200 -127,219
90 Barclays 10,000 113,692 11.37 0 10,000 -113,692
79 CIBC 874,226 9,923,816 11.35 865,168 9,825,581 11.36 9,058 -98,235
2 RBC 71,861 813,246 11.32 63,452 715,623 11.28 8,409 -97,623
101 Newedge 77,700 883,451 11.37 70,800 804,596 11.36 6,900 -78,855
60 MF Global Can 51,000 577,453 11.32 46,000 520,498 11.32 5,000 -56,955
37 MacDougall 5,500 62,650 11.39 800 8,920 11.15 4,700 -53,730
33 Canaccord 25,400 289,362 11.39 22,500 255,837 11.37 2,900 -33,525
64 Octagon 2,500 28,415 11.37 0 2,500 -28,415
67 Northern 2,000 22,660 11.33 0 2,000 -22,660
58 Qtrade 2,700 30,311 11.23 850 9,636 11.34 1,850 -20,675
32 CTI 1,000 11,310 11.31 0 1,000 -11,310
95 Wolverton 900 10,008 11.12 0 900 -10,008
63 Byron 25,026 283,974 11.35 24,801 281,642 11.36 225 -2,332
57 Interactive 0 85 965 11.35 -85 965
36 Latimer 6,000 68,890 11.48 6,400 71,727 11.21 -400 2,837
31 Dominick 30,500 346,895 11.37 31,400 357,228 11.38 -900 10,333
5 Penson 0 1,100 12,478 11.34 -1,100 12,478
15 UBS 20,900 234,812 11.24 22,050 248,165 11.25 -1,150 13,353
81 HSBC 2,100 23,917 11.39 5,450 61,784 11.34 -3,350 37,867
124 Questrade 1,535 17,350 11.30 8,000 90,203 11.28 -6,465 72,853
53 Morgan Stanley 0 6,492 72,764 11.21 -6,492 72,764
62 Haywood 2,000 22,960 11.48 10,000 114,500 11.45 -8,000 91,540
74 GMP 14,500 161,393 11.13 23,400 263,762 11.27 -8,900 102,369
250 Infinium Capital 2,500 28,330 11.33 13,400 150,103 11.20 -10,900 121,773
9 BMO Nesbitt 11,230 125,873 11.21 23,000 260,960 11.35 -11,770 135,087
19 Desjardins 65,650 746,264 11.37 77,715 882,994 11.36 -12,065 136,730
65 Goldman 0 14,345 161,785 11.28 -14,345 161,785
85 Scotia 25,975 296,439 11.41 42,700 484,023 11.34 -16,725 187,584
14 ITG 28,390 320,634 11.29 45,304 513,356 11.33 -16,914 192,722
11 MacQuarie 5,000 56,770 11.35 27,000 307,240 11.38 -22,000 250,470
16 Paradigm 74,000 840,613 11.36 97,100 1,106,501 11.40 -23,100 265,888
99 Jitney 171,900 1,952,694 11.36 217,400 2,468,153 11.35 -45,500 515,459
7 TD Sec 116,066 1,308,008 11.27 215,676 2,445,246 11.34 -99,610 1,137,238
72 Credit Suisse 600 6,814 11.36 128,939 1,467,689 11.38 -128,339 1,460,875
Total 3,037,927 34,481,643 11.353,037,927 34,481,643 11.35 00